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PCHEM:MYXPETRONAS Chemicals Group Bhd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

MYR 4.75

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PETRONAS Chemicals Group’s stock is trading at MYR 4.75, comfortably above its 20‑day (MYR 3.62), 50‑day (MYR 3.44) and 200‑day (MYR 3.64) moving averages, signalling a technically bullish stance. However, the RSI sits at roughly 74, indicating the shares are overbought, and the MACD remains bullish with a positive histogram, while volume is on an upswing and the nearest support sits near MYR 3.00 and resistance near MYR 5.42.
Fundamentally the company is under pressure: revenue fell 11.5%, margins are negative, trailing EPS is –0.27 and the firm carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 14, while the payout ratio exceeds 190%, making the 1.47% dividend unsustainable. The DCF fair‑value estimate of about MYR 1.58 is far below the current price, implying a sizeable downside, and the 30‑day volatility of nearly 87% adds to the risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Current price far above DCF fair value
  • Unsustainable dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS turning positive
  • Improving cash flow generation
  • Elevated volatility may create entry points

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Persistently negative margins and ROE
  • High leverage relative to equity
  • Structural overvaluation versus intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.50%
Profit Margin-7.80%
P/E Ratio15.9
ROE-5.30%
ROA-1.46%
Debt/Equity14.58
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowMYR3.1B
Free Cash FlowMYR624.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI74.2
SupportMYR 3.00
ResistanceMYR 5.42
MA 20MYR 3.62
MA 50MYR 3.44
MA 200MYR 3.64
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 1.58
Target PriceMYR 3.53
Upside/Downside-25.77%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility86.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.