PBR:NYSEPetroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras analysis
Data as of Oct 19, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $25.60
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras is priced at $25.60 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. The last 30 days have gained 27.2%. With RSI at 71.0 the momentum picture is overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $20.20 and resistance at $26.11.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 6.5 sits below the sector average of 19.4. Analyst price targets sit 5.9% below the current price. Revenue is growing at 42.3% on a 24.3% profit margin. The 5.50% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 42.0%, a beta of -0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 27.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 89 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 7/10.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 6.5 sits below the sector average of 19.4. Analyst price targets sit 5.9% below the current price. Revenue is growing at 42.3% on a 24.3% profit margin. The 5.50% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 42.0%, a beta of -0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 27.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 89 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 7/10.
Top market events
- Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras NYSE:PBR announced on September 17 that it had signed production-sharing...
- Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras NYSE:PBR announced on September 17 that it had signed production-sharing...
- Blue Tower Asset Management, an investment Management Company, released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- RSI at 71.0 signals overbought conditions
- Trading above the 200-day average of 18.61
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- RSI at 71.0 signals overbought conditions
- P/E of 6.5 versus sector average of 19.4
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 6.5 versus sector average of 19.4
- Analyst targets imply -5.9% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 24.3% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth42.30%
Profit Margin24.32%
P/E Ratio6.5
ROE30.27%
ROA10.07%
Debt/Equity76.07
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$214.4B
Free Cash Flow$94.2B
Industry P/E19.4
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI71.0
Support$20.20
Resistance$26.11
MA 20$23.18
MA 50$20.98
MA 200$18.61
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.05
Valuation
Fair Value$432.23
Target Price$24.09
Upside/Downside-5.89%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.50%
Risk assessment
Beta-0.28
Volatility41.97%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.