PBOG:NASDAQPortfolio Building Block Integrated Oil and Gas and Exploration and Production Index ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time
$32.54
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF has delivered a robust YTD return of 26.6%, outpacing many energy peers. However, the price at $32.54 sits below the 20‑day SMA of 33.08 and the 50‑day SMA of 33.41, indicating short‑term weakness. RSI at 45 suggests neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD (histogram -0.03) reinforces the downside bias. Volume trends are decreasing, with today's volume at 37k versus a three‑month average of 240k, raising modest liquidity concerns. The fund's expense ratio of 0.13% remains competitive. The ETF’s tracking error is effectively zero, indicating precise replication of its index. Its market cap is modest, but total assets of $511 million provide a solid base for stability.
On the risk side, the ETF’s beta of -0.46 implies an inverse relationship to the broader market, which can be attractive in volatile environments, yet the sector concentration in integrated oil and gas heightens exposure to commodity swings. The 30‑day volatility of 27% and a max drawdown of 11.4% underscore this risk, while the Fear & Greed Index at 83 (Extreme Greed) signals strong market optimism. With a neutral trend direction, support at $31.81 and resistance at $34.85, investors should weigh the strong YTD performance against the high sector concentration and liquidity profile before deciding. The fund’s turnover is reported as zero, suggesting a buy‑and‑hold strategy that may limit turnover costs. Given the current extreme greed sentiment, price appreciation could be sustained in the near term if oil prices remain supportive.
On the risk side, the ETF’s beta of -0.46 implies an inverse relationship to the broader market, which can be attractive in volatile environments, yet the sector concentration in integrated oil and gas heightens exposure to commodity swings. The 30‑day volatility of 27% and a max drawdown of 11.4% underscore this risk, while the Fear & Greed Index at 83 (Extreme Greed) signals strong market optimism. With a neutral trend direction, support at $31.81 and resistance at $34.85, investors should weigh the strong YTD performance against the high sector concentration and liquidity profile before deciding. The fund’s turnover is reported as zero, suggesting a buy‑and‑hold strategy that may limit turnover costs. Given the current extreme greed sentiment, price appreciation could be sustained in the near term if oil prices remain supportive.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price trading below short‑term SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD return of 26.6%
- Negative beta offering diversification
- Low expense ratio of 0.13%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High sector concentration in oil & gas
- Elevated 30‑day volatility (27%)
- Potential energy‑transition risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.13%
AUM$511.7M
Inception Date2025-11-25
Avg Daily Volume43,320
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.4
Support$31.81
Resistance$34.85
MA 20$33.08
MA 50$33.41
MA 200$30.30
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.46
Volatility27.19%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.