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PBHC:NASDAQPathfinder Bancorp, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$15.45

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pathfinder Bancorp is trading near its recent resistance of $15.45 with a strong bullish MACD histogram (+0.17) and a high RSI of 71.6, indicating short‑term overbought conditions.
Fundamentally, the bank shows negative profit margins (-8.3%), a trailing EPS of -$0.41 and a sizable net‑debt position (total debt $75M vs cash $39M), which undermines earnings sustainability despite a modest dividend yield of 2.59% and a payout ratio of 33%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Overbought RSI suggests possible near‑term pullback
  • Bullish MACD but price at resistance
  • Increasing volume supports short‑term stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Negative earnings and profit margins limit upside
  • Dividend yield attractive but sustainability questionable
  • Regional banking sector facing heightened regulatory scrutiny

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent earnings deficits and high net‑debt burden
  • Low book‑to‑price advantage may erode if asset quality worsens
  • Elevated volatility (45% 30‑day) and limited analyst coverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.20%
Profit Margin-8.32%
ROE-2.01%
ROA-0.17%
P/B Ratio0.8
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI71.6
Support$13.00
Resistance$15.45
MA 20$13.99
MA 50$13.73
MA 200$14.17
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.59%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility45.44%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.