PBF:NYSEPBF Energy Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-23 - not real-time
$40.99
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PBF Energy is trading around $41, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $43.38 and the 50‑day SMA of $41.59, while still below the 200‑day SMA of $32.78, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits near 47, suggesting neutral momentum, and the price is perched above the identified support at $36.12 with ample upside to the $52.18 resistance. Valuation metrics are attractive: a forward P/E of 10.7 versus an industry average of 22, a price‑to‑book below 1, and a 2.7% dividend yield on a modest 15% payout ratio. Fundamentally, the company faces challenges – negative gross, operating and profit margins, negative operating cash flow, and a sizable debt load that yields a debt‑to‑equity of 53%, raising questions about cash generation and dividend sustainability. Recent headlines note a bounce to a one‑year high on geopolitical tension, but also a 6.8% drop following an oil price dip, reflecting the sector’s volatility. Overall, the stock appears undervalued on a relative basis, but the sustainability of earnings and dividend payments remains uncertain.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term support but below resistance
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating possible near‑term pullback
- Decreasing volume trend reducing momentum confidence
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative valuation multiples
- Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Potential recovery in oil prices supporting earnings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High sector cyclicality and regulatory exposure
- Negative free cash flow and elevated debt levels
- Uncertain sustainability of dividend amid cash constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.90%
Profit Margin-0.54%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE-2.88%
ROA-3.63%
Debt/Equity53.46
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-78000000
Free Cash Flow$-469649984
Industry P/E22.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.3
Support$36.12
Resistance$52.18
MA 20$43.38
MA 50$41.59
MA 200$32.78
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Target Price$41.83
Upside/Downside2.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.07
Volatility72.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.