We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

PBF:NYSEPBF Energy Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-23 - not real-time

$40.99

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PBF Energy is trading around $41, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $43.38 and the 50‑day SMA of $41.59, while still below the 200‑day SMA of $32.78, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits near 47, suggesting neutral momentum, and the price is perched above the identified support at $36.12 with ample upside to the $52.18 resistance. Valuation metrics are attractive: a forward P/E of 10.7 versus an industry average of 22, a price‑to‑book below 1, and a 2.7% dividend yield on a modest 15% payout ratio. Fundamentally, the company faces challenges – negative gross, operating and profit margins, negative operating cash flow, and a sizable debt load that yields a debt‑to‑equity of 53%, raising questions about cash generation and dividend sustainability. Recent headlines note a bounce to a one‑year high on geopolitical tension, but also a 6.8% drop following an oil price dip, reflecting the sector’s volatility. Overall, the stock appears undervalued on a relative basis, but the sustainability of earnings and dividend payments remains uncertain.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term support but below resistance
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating possible near‑term pullback
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing momentum confidence

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative valuation multiples
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Potential recovery in oil prices supporting earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High sector cyclicality and regulatory exposure
  • Negative free cash flow and elevated debt levels
  • Uncertain sustainability of dividend amid cash constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.90%
Profit Margin-0.54%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE-2.88%
ROA-3.63%
Debt/Equity53.46
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-78000000
Free Cash Flow$-469649984
Industry P/E22.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.3
Support$36.12
Resistance$52.18
MA 20$43.38
MA 50$41.59
MA 200$32.78
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Target Price$41.83
Upside/Downside2.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility72.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.