PAYC:NYSEPaycom Software, Inc. analysis
Data as of Sep 24, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $221.68
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Paycom Software, Inc. is bullish at $221.68, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has gained 3.9%. Relative strength is 52.6 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $213.65 and resistance around $244.98.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 23.8 times earnings against the sector's 34.6. Revenue is growing at 9.8% on a 22.8% profit margin. The 0.67% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.1%, a beta of 0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 47.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 5/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 23.8 times earnings against the sector's 34.6. Revenue is growing at 9.8% on a 22.8% profit margin. The 0.67% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.1%, a beta of 0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 47.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 5/10 conviction.
Top market events
- Paycom Software stock has eased after a strong second quarter 2026 earnings beat and higher full yea
- Paycom Software stock is trading near a fresh 52-week high after strong Q2 2026 earnings, raised gui
- The end of the earnings season is always a good time to take a step back and see who shined and who didn’t .
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 152.59
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 23.8 versus sector average of 34.6
- Trading above the 200-day average of 152.59
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 23.8 versus sector average of 34.6
- Profit margin of 22.8% is healthy
- Return on equity of 41.1%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth9.80%
Profit Margin22.78%
P/E Ratio23.8
ROE41.09%
ROA8.78%
Debt/Equity171.97
P/B Ratio16.9
Op. Cash Flow$801.5M
Free Cash Flow$423.7M
Industry P/E34.6
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.6
Support$213.65
Resistance$244.98
MA 20$228.61
MA 50$200.99
MA 200$152.59
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.48
Valuation
Fair Value$157.62
Target Price$218.88
Upside/Downside-1.27%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.67%
Risk assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility33.08%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.