PAX:NASDAQPatria Investments Limited analysis
Data as of Oct 10, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $11.67
- Risk: high
- 8/10High risk
Summary
Patria Investments Limited is priced at $11.67 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. RSI sits at 69.1, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. Watch $9.89 as support and $11.74 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 27.1 times earnings against the sector's 15.5. Sell-side targets cluster 28.5% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 34.9% on a 16.4% profit margin. The 5.77% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 36.0%, a beta of 1.24 and a maximum drawdown of 43.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 27.1 times earnings against the sector's 15.5. Sell-side targets cluster 28.5% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 34.9% on a 16.4% profit margin. The 5.77% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 36.0%, a beta of 1.24 and a maximum drawdown of 43.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
Top market events
- Patria Investments Ltd PAX reports strong $2.
- GRAND CAYMAN, Cayman Islands, July 31, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Patria Investments Limited Nasdaq:PAX reported today its...
- GRAND CAYMAN, Cayman Islands, July 31, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Patria Investments Limited Nasdaq:PAX reported today its...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 12.36
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 27.1 versus sector average of 15.5
- Dividend yield of 5.77% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 27.1 versus sector average of 15.5
- Dividend yield of 5.77% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +28.5% versus the current price
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth34.90%
Profit Margin16.35%
P/E Ratio27.1
ROE12.88%
ROA5.87%
Debt/Equity69.67
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash Flow$178.8M
Free Cash Flow$200.1M
Industry P/E15.5
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI69.1
Support$9.89
Resistance$11.74
MA 20$10.47
MA 50$10.96
MA 200$12.36
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.93
Valuation
Fair Value$37.99
Target Price$15.00
Upside/Downside28.53%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.77%
Risk assessment
Beta1.24
Volatility35.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.