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PAVS:NASDAQParanovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$1.14

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock trades well below its short‑term simple moving average, suggesting weak momentum. The mid‑term SMA sits far above the current price, reinforcing a bearish bias. The long‑term SMA resides at a very high level, making the price appear negligible in comparison. RSI is in the low region, indicating oversold conditions but not a clear reversal. MACD line is negative while the histogram shows a modest positive reading, a mixed signal with a slight bullish divergence. Support is just above the low price range and resistance sits near the mid‑range, framing a tight trading window.
Volume trend is decreasing, pointing to waning market interest. Beta exceeds one and volatility approaches extreme levels, highlighting pronounced price swings. Fundamentals reveal negative margins, a massive drawdown, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio that is high, underscoring financial distress. Cash reserves modestly exceed debt, yet operating cash flow remains negative. The discounted cash flow model implies a fair value dramatically higher than the current price, creating a stark valuation gap. Overall, the combination of technical weakness and deteriorating fundamentals makes the stock highly speculative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price well below short‑term SMA
  • decreasing volume and bearish trend
  • high volatility and beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • large gap between current price and DCF fair value
  • ongoing negative earnings and cash flow
  • potential upside if turnaround materializes

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • exposure to AI‑driven entertainment market
  • persistent financial distress and high debt load
  • speculative upside versus substantial risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18033.40%
Profit Margin-54.84%
ROE-21.54%
ROA-3.13%
Debt/Equity10.83
P/B Ratio0.0
Op. Cash Flow$-1862427
Free Cash Flow$2.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI32.2
Support$1.02
Resistance$1.63
MA 20$1.20
MA 50$3.14
MA 200$384.63
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.55

Valuation

Fair Value$80.46
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.71
Volatility95.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.