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PATK:NASDAQPatrick Industries, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

$85.07

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Patrick Industries (PATK) is trading at $85.07, well below its 20‑day SMA of $90.93, 50‑day SMA of $98.38, and 200‑day SMA of $109.60, indicating a sustained bearish price trend. The RSI of 31.5 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce short‑term weakness, while volume is decreasing and price sits near the technical support at $84.43. Despite the price pressure, the stock offers a 2.21% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 44.7% and positive free cash flow, suggesting dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 21.9 versus a forward PE of 14.3, and analysts’ median target of $125.5 implies roughly 40% upside potential. However, the company’s revenue is flat (‑0.6% YoY) and debt‑to‑equity is high at 135%, presenting balance‑sheet considerations. The high 30‑day volatility of 39% and beta near 1 reflect market sensitivity, yet the consumer‑cyclical sector exposure adds cyclical risk. Overall, the fundamentals are solid enough to justify a longer‑term view, but technicals suggest caution in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below all SMAs, RSI <30, MACD bearish)
  • Decreasing volume and proximity to support level
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial upside to analyst target (~40%)
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Improving forward earnings (forward PE 14.3) and solid cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term industry tailwinds in RV, marine, and housing markets
  • Undervalued valuation relative to peers and growth prospects
  • Consistent dividend and resilient operating margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin3.45%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE11.70%
ROA5.37%
Debt/Equity135.12
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$275.3M
Free Cash Flow$112.4M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.5
Support$84.43
Resistance$98.39
MA 20$90.93
MA 50$98.38
MA 200$109.60
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.21

Valuation

Target Price$119.50
Upside/Downside40.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.95
Volatility39.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.