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PATK:NASDAQPatrick Industries, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

$85.12

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Patrick Industries is trading in a bearish technical environment with the short‑term moving average positioned below the medium‑term average, RSI indicating oversold conditions, and a negative MACD histogram reinforcing downside momentum. Price is hovering just above a key support level while volume trends downward and 30‑day volatility remains elevated, suggesting heightened short‑term risk despite a beta close to market neutrality.
Fundamentally, the company shows flat revenue growth, modest profit margins and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, yet generates positive operating cash flow that comfortably covers its dividend, which was recently reaffirmed. The forward earnings outlook improves valuation metrics, and analysts’ price targets imply a substantial upside, while the termination of a previously discussed merger removes near‑term corporate uncertainty.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical indicators
  • decreasing trading volume
  • proximity to support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued relative to forward earnings
  • stable dividend payout
  • solid operating cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside to analyst target prices
  • sustainable dividend and payout ratio
  • long‑term industry positioning in recreational and housing markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin3.45%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE11.70%
ROA5.37%
Debt/Equity135.12
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$275.3M
Free Cash Flow$112.4M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.6
Support$84.43
Resistance$98.39
MA 20$91.43
MA 50$98.84
MA 200$109.73
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Target Price$119.50
Upside/Downside40.39%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.95
Volatility39.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.