PATK:NASDAQPatrick Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Patrick Industries (PATK) is trading at $85.07, well below its 20‑day SMA of $90.93, 50‑day SMA of $98.38, and 200‑day SMA of $109.60, indicating a sustained bearish price trend. The RSI of 31.5 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce short‑term weakness, while volume is decreasing and price sits near the technical support at $84.43. Despite the price pressure, the stock offers a 2.21% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 44.7% and positive free cash flow, suggesting dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 21.9 versus a forward PE of 14.3, and analysts’ median target of $125.5 implies roughly 40% upside potential. However, the company’s revenue is flat (‑0.6% YoY) and debt‑to‑equity is high at 135%, presenting balance‑sheet considerations. The high 30‑day volatility of 39% and beta near 1 reflect market sensitivity, yet the consumer‑cyclical sector exposure adds cyclical risk. Overall, the fundamentals are solid enough to justify a longer‑term view, but technicals suggest caution in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below all SMAs, RSI <30, MACD bearish)
- Decreasing volume and proximity to support level
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Substantial upside to analyst target (~40%)
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Improving forward earnings (forward PE 14.3) and solid cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Long‑term industry tailwinds in RV, marine, and housing markets
- Undervalued valuation relative to peers and growth prospects
- Consistent dividend and resilient operating margins
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.