PATK:NASDAQPatrick Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time
$85.12
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Patrick Industries is trading in a bearish technical environment with the short‑term moving average positioned below the medium‑term average, RSI indicating oversold conditions, and a negative MACD histogram reinforcing downside momentum. Price is hovering just above a key support level while volume trends downward and 30‑day volatility remains elevated, suggesting heightened short‑term risk despite a beta close to market neutrality.
Fundamentally, the company shows flat revenue growth, modest profit margins and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, yet generates positive operating cash flow that comfortably covers its dividend, which was recently reaffirmed. The forward earnings outlook improves valuation metrics, and analysts’ price targets imply a substantial upside, while the termination of a previously discussed merger removes near‑term corporate uncertainty.
Fundamentally, the company shows flat revenue growth, modest profit margins and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, yet generates positive operating cash flow that comfortably covers its dividend, which was recently reaffirmed. The forward earnings outlook improves valuation metrics, and analysts’ price targets imply a substantial upside, while the termination of a previously discussed merger removes near‑term corporate uncertainty.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical indicators
- decreasing trading volume
- proximity to support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- undervalued relative to forward earnings
- stable dividend payout
- solid operating cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- potential upside to analyst target prices
- sustainable dividend and payout ratio
- long‑term industry positioning in recreational and housing markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin3.45%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE11.70%
ROA5.37%
Debt/Equity135.12
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$275.3M
Free Cash Flow$112.4M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.6
Support$84.43
Resistance$98.39
MA 20$91.43
MA 50$98.84
MA 200$109.73
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
Target Price$119.50
Upside/Downside40.39%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.21%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility39.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.