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PATH:NYSEUiPath, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$10.86

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

UiPath (PATH) is trading at roughly $10.86, marginally above its 20‑day SMA but still well below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating a bearish medium‑term bias. The RSI sits at 54, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, offering a subtle bullish signal. Volatility remains elevated at over 54% for the past 30 days and a beta above 1.2 points to heightened sensitivity to market swings. Fundamentally, the company posts 13.6% revenue growth, an 83% gross margin, and a solid operating margin of 16.7%, underpinned by a cash pile of $1.47 bn against minimal debt. The DCF‑derived fair value of $23.55 implies roughly 24% upside from current levels, while the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment may be inflating short‑term buying pressure. Recent material news highlights the launch of on‑premise agentic AI for regulated sectors and a strategic integration with Databricks, expanding the addressable market and reinforcing the company’s competitive moat.
Analyst coverage remains cautious, with a median price target of $13 and a recent downgrade to $12, but the combination of strong cash generation, high margins, and emerging AI capabilities supports a longer‑run bullish view. The stock’s liquidity is robust, volume is rising, and the support zone near $9.20 offers a cushion against further downside, making the current price an attractive entry point for investors willing to navigate short‑term volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bullish MACD histogram
  • Increasing volume indicating buying interest
  • Strong cash position limiting downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to DCF fair value
  • Revenue growth and high gross margins
  • New AI capabilities and Databricks partnership expanding TAM

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term automation and AI adoption trends
  • Robust balance sheet with minimal debt
  • Sustainable profitability and strong ROE

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin17.53%
P/E Ratio20.9
ROE14.37%
ROA1.26%
Debt/Equity3.90
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$371.2M
Free Cash Flow$473.6M
Industry P/E39.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI54.1
Support$9.20
Resistance$11.30
MA 20$10.48
MA 50$10.76
MA 200$12.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64

Valuation

Fair Value$23.55
Target Price$13.50
Upside/Downside24.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility54.68%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.