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PAM:NYSEPampa Energia S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

$83.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pampa Energía trades well below its intrinsic valuation, with a price that appears roughly half of the discounted cash‑flow estimate and a price‑to‑earnings multiple that is markedly lower than the sector average. The company is delivering strong top‑line momentum, posting robust revenue growth and healthy operating margins, while the recent earnings call highlighted a sharp rebound in adjusted EBITDA. Technical indicators are broadly neutral but show a modest bullish tilt: the MACD histogram is positive, the RSI sits in the mid‑range, and the price is holding just above the 20‑day moving average. However, the stock exhibits elevated volatility and a decreasing volume trend, reflecting the broader macro‑economic and currency pressures inherent to its Argentine exposure. Analyst consensus remains positive, with a “buy” rating and a sizable upside potential implied by the DCF model.
Given the combination of deep valuation discount, solid earnings momentum, and a supportive analyst outlook, the near‑term risk/reward profile is attractive for investors willing to tolerate the country‑specific and liquidity risks. The absence of a dividend means total return will rely on price appreciation, and investors should monitor regulatory developments and currency dynamics that could affect cash flows.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Bullish MACD histogram and supportive RSI
  • Positive earnings momentum and analyst buy consensus

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue and EBITDA growth
  • Low PE relative to industry peers
  • Continued upside potential despite volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term exposure to Argentine macro‑economic and regulatory environment
  • Absence of dividend requiring reliance on price appreciation
  • Strong asset base and diversified energy operations supporting future cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth38.40%
Profit Margin20.31%
P/E Ratio10.1
ROE12.10%
ROA3.36%
Debt/Equity50.44
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$455.0M
Free Cash Flow$-768600000
Industry P/E30.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.0
Support$78.01
Resistance$84.84
MA 20$81.21
MA 50$83.32
MA 200$79.12
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.66

Valuation

Fair Value$188.15
Target Price$115.14
Upside/Downside37.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.85
Volatility39.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.