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PAM:NYSEPampa Energia S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-23 - not real-time

$83.14

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pampa Energía (PAM) is trading at $83.14, comfortably above its 50‑day SMA ($83.06) and well over the 200‑day SMA ($78.26), indicating a **bullish medium‑term trend** despite a short‑term dip below the 20‑day SMA ($85.20). The RSI sits near 47, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging a **bearish near‑term signal**. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 31%, underscoring a **cautious trading environment**.
Fundamentally, PAM delivers robust top‑line growth (16.6% YoY revenue increase) and a low trailing PE of 11.9 versus an industry average of 31.4, positioning the stock as **undervalued**. The forward PE drops to 6.8, earnings estimates are rising, and analyst price targets average $113, implying ~35% upside. However, free cash flow is negative, debt exceeds cash, and the company pays no dividend, which tempers the attractiveness for income‑focused investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal and negative histogram
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Price below short‑term SMA20 resistance level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and improving earnings estimates
  • Low trailing and forward PE relative to industry
  • Analyst consensus targets indicating ~35% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified energy portfolio across generation, oil & gas, and petrochemicals
  • Potential for cash‑flow improvement as projects mature
  • Macro‑economic and currency exposure in Argentina

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.60%
Profit Margin18.87%
P/E Ratio11.9
ROE10.96%
ROA2.91%
Debt/Equity53.48
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$778.0M
Free Cash Flow$-706600000
Industry P/E31.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.0
Support$79.79
Resistance$90.30
MA 20$85.20
MA 50$83.06
MA 200$78.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.89

Valuation

Fair Value$252.26
Target Price$112.50
Upside/Downside35.31%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility30.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.