PALD:NASDAQDirexion Daily PANW Bear 1X ETF analysis
Data as of Sep 13, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $11.49
- Risk: high
- 8/10High risk
Summary
At $11.49, Direxion Daily PANW Bear 1X Shares shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 5.1%. With RSI at 54.2 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $9.90 and resistance around $11.88.
The 1.02% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $2.8M in assets.
Risk scores 8 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 64.1%, a beta of -1.31 and a maximum drawdown of 67.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The 1.02% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $2.8M in assets.
Risk scores 8 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 64.1%, a beta of -1.31 and a maximum drawdown of 67.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 19.81
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 19.81
- 30-day volatility of 64.1%
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- High expense ratio of 1.02%
- 30-day volatility of 64.1%
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
Key metrics
Fund metrics
Expense Ratio1.02%
AUM$2.8M
Inception Date2025-02-10
Avg Daily Volume146,670
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield6.15%
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI54.2
Support$9.90
Resistance$11.88
MA 20$10.95
MA 50$11.25
MA 200$19.81
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Risk assessment
Beta-1.31
Volatility64.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.