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PALD:NASDAQDirexion Daily PANW Bear 1X ETF analysis

Data as of Sep 13, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$11.49
Risk: high
8/10High risk

Summary

At $11.49, Direxion Daily PANW Bear 1X Shares shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 5.1%. With RSI at 54.2 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $9.90 and resistance around $11.88.
The 1.02% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $2.8M in assets.
Risk scores 8 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 64.1%, a beta of -1.31 and a maximum drawdown of 67.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Cautious

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 19.81
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 19.81
  • 30-day volatility of 64.1%

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • High expense ratio of 1.02%
  • 30-day volatility of 64.1%
  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk

Key metrics

Fund metrics

Expense Ratio1.02%
AUM$2.8M
Inception Date2025-02-10
Avg Daily Volume146,670
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield6.15%

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI54.2
Support$9.90
Resistance$11.88
MA 20$10.95
MA 50$11.25
MA 200$19.81
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Risk assessment

Beta-1.31
Volatility64.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.