PAG:NYSEPenske Automotive Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$180.96
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical momentum remains bullish – the short‑term moving average sits above the medium‑term average, MACD is in bullish territory and price action is holding above key support while approaching recent resistance. RSI is edging toward overbought levels, suggesting short‑term caution, but the overall trend is still upward.
Fundamentals support a modest upside – earnings beat expectations with profit per share well above consensus and the company raised its dividend for the 22nd straight quarter, indicating a sustainable payout given solid operating cash flow. Valuation metrics (mid‑teens PE, price‑to‑book near two) imply the stock is fairly priced with limited upside, while the balance sheet shows high leverage that tempers enthusiasm.
Fundamentals support a modest upside – earnings beat expectations with profit per share well above consensus and the company raised its dividend for the 22nd straight quarter, indicating a sustainable payout given solid operating cash flow. Valuation metrics (mid‑teens PE, price‑to‑book near two) imply the stock is fairly priced with limited upside, while the balance sheet shows high leverage that tempers enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup but RSI near overbought
- Recent earnings beat and dividend increase
- Proximity to short‑term resistance limiting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend yield with a payout ratio under 40%
- Modest valuation upside toward analyst target prices
- Strong operating cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Track record of dividend growth over two decades
- Diversified international dealership footprint reducing single‑market exposure
- Consistent free cash flow generation despite cyclical industry dynamics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.10%
Profit Margin2.88%
P/E Ratio13.1
ROE16.48%
ROA4.41%
Debt/Equity164.25
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$899.1M
Free Cash Flow$220.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.6
Support$154.12
Resistance$182.86
MA 20$169.26
MA 50$164.95
MA 200$164.53
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$184.70
Upside/Downside2.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.14%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.64
Volatility28.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.