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OTEX:TSXOpen Text Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time

CA$32.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Open Text Corporation trades at CAD 32.00, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 12.0%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at CAD 30.86 and resistance at CAD 35.42.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 9.0 versus a 33.2 sector average, below the peer group. Revenue is growing at 2.9% on a 12.3% profit margin. The 4.96% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 38.4%, a beta of 0.77 and a maximum drawdown of 48.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.

Top Market Events

Open Text Corp OTEX delivers solid Q4 with core portfolio revenue up 5.Updated Jul 17, 2026 0 WATERLOO, ON, July 17, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Open Text Corporation NASDAQ: OTEX , TSX: OTEX , a...Open Text OTEX is in focus after reporting fourth quarter and full year 2026 results, along with a higher quarterly...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 35.08
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 9.0 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 35.08

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 9.0 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Return on equity of 16.2%
  • Dividend yield of 4.96%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.90%
Profit Margin12.26%
P/E Ratio9.0
ROE16.19%
ROA5.58%
Debt/Equity148.72
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash FlowCA$1.0B
Free Cash FlowCA$1.4B
Industry P/E33.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.0
SupportCA$30.86
ResistanceCA$35.42
MA 20CA$33.41
MA 50CA$33.44
MA 200CA$35.08
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Fair ValueCA$57.93
Target PriceCA$31.40
Upside/Downside-1.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility38.42%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.