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ORIC:NASDAQOric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$7.93

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ORIC is trading just above its calculated support of $7.815, with the 20‑day SMA at $9.40, the 50‑day SMA at $10.32 and the 200‑day SMA at $10.88, indicating a clear bearish price structure. The RSI sits near 29, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing short‑term downside pressure. Volume is on an increasing trend, but the 30‑day volatility exceeds 55%, suggesting that price swings could be abrupt.
On the fundamentals side, the company holds roughly $282 million in cash against minimal debt, but it reports no revenue and sizable operating losses, resulting in a negative PE and a book‑to‑price multiple of about 2.0. Recent material news highlights the advancement of its lead candidate rinzimetostat into a Phase 3 global registrational trial in partnership with Bayer and Johnson & Johnson, which could unlock significant upside if successful. Analyst consensus is a “strong buy” with a median price target near $21, implying a potential upside of over 150% from current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • oversold RSI but bearish MACD
  • high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Phase 3 trial initiation in 1H 2026
  • strong analyst consensus and high upside target
  • substantial cash runway supporting continued development

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • potential blockbuster revenue if trial succeeds
  • strategic collaborations with Bayer and Johnson & Johnson
  • undervalued book price relative to future growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-5.1
ROE-42.57%
ROA-27.57%
Debt/Equity1.62
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$-110875000
Free Cash Flow$-67968624
Industry P/E26.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI29.4
Support$7.82
Resistance$11.03
MA 20$9.40
MA 50$10.32
MA 200$10.88
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89

Valuation

Target Price$20.36
Upside/Downside156.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.93
Volatility57.88%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.