ORI:NYSEOld Republic International Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Old Republic International trades around $41.85, delivering a **trailing P/E of 10.2** versus an industry average of 17.7, which positions the stock as markedly *undervalued*. Revenue grew 13.5% YoY to $9.4 bn, and margins remain solid (gross 63%, operating 18%, profit 11%), supporting a **ROE of 17%** and a **dividend yield of 3%** with a modest 29% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. Technicals show the price above the 20‑day (39.74) and 50‑day (39.27) SMAs, a bullish MACD histogram (+0.28) and a **RSI of 66**, suggesting momentum but approaching overbought levels; the stock sits near the $42.35 resistance and above the $37.54 support. Volatility is moderate at ~22% over 30 days, beta is effectively neutral (‑0.05), and the market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong investor appetite. While Q1 non‑GAAP EPS missed consensus, the underlying cash generation ($2.1 bn free cash flow) and a **DCF fair value of $202** imply upside potential of roughly 35%. Overall, ORI combines defensive insurance exposure with attractive valuation and dividend characteristics, making it a compelling *value‑oriented* play.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bullish MACD with positive histogram
- RSI approaching overbought territory
- Price near resistance at $42.35
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers (P/E 10.2 vs 17.7)
- Strong dividend yield and low payout ratio
- Robust revenue growth and cash flow generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- DCF indicates substantial upside (~35%)
- Low beta and defensive insurance profile
- Sustainable dividend supported by solid free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.