ORI:NYSEOld Republic International Corporation analysis
Data as of Oct 9, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $38.55
- Risk: medium
- 4/10Medium risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Old Republic International Corporation is neutral at $38.55, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has lost 9.2%. With RSI at 43.0 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at $37.06 up to resistance at $41.85.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 8.5 times earnings against the sector's 15.4. Consensus targets land 12.8% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a 11.7% profit margin. The 3.34% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 17.5%, a beta of -0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 21.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 8/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 8.5 times earnings against the sector's 15.4. Consensus targets land 12.8% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a 11.7% profit margin. The 3.34% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 17.5%, a beta of -0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 21.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 8/10 conviction.
Top market events
- /PRNewswire/ -- Old Republic International Corporation NYSE: ORI – today reported the following results for the...
- Insurance conglomerate Old Republic International NYSE:ORI in Q2 CY2026, with sales up 13% year on year to $2.
- Despite a dip in pretax operating income, Old Republic International Corp ORI showcases resilience with strong title...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 40.88
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of -9.2%
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 8.5 versus sector average of 15.4
- Trading below the 200-day average of 40.88
- Analyst targets imply +12.8% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence8/108 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 8.5 versus sector average of 15.4
- Analyst targets imply +12.8% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +13.4%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth13.40%
Profit Margin11.71%
P/E Ratio8.5
ROE18.57%
ROA3.12%
Debt/Equity37.52
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Free Cash Flow$1.4B
Industry P/E15.4
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.0
Support$37.06
Resistance$41.85
MA 20$38.88
MA 50$40.94
MA 200$40.88
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.91
Valuation
Fair Value$122.49
Target Price$43.50
Upside/Downside12.84%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.34%
Risk assessment
Beta-0.17
Volatility17.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.