ORI:NYSEOld Republic International Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$40.05
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Old Republic International is trading below its longer‑term moving averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias, yet the MACD histogram has turned positive and the RSI hovers around the neutral zone, suggesting limited downside pressure. The company delivered strong top‑line growth in the latest quarter, outpacing revenue expectations, while earnings fell short of consensus, creating a mixed earnings narrative. Fundamentally, the stock offers a low price‑to‑earnings multiple relative to its industry peers and a solid dividend yield supported by a modest payout ratio and robust cash generation. The balance sheet is net‑cash positive with a manageable debt load, and return metrics remain healthy, reinforcing the case for value. Market sentiment appears overly optimistic, as reflected by an extreme greed index, which may be pricing in more upside than justified.
Technical signals are mixed: decreasing volume and a price sitting between short‑ and medium‑term averages point to caution, but the bullish MACD crossover and support above a clear technical floor provide a cushion. The dividend announcement reinforces income appeal, and the company’s diversified insurance and title segments mitigate sector‑specific shocks. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of value and modest growth, making it a candidate for investors seeking stable returns with upside potential, provided they are comfortable with short‑term volatility.
Technical signals are mixed: decreasing volume and a price sitting between short‑ and medium‑term averages point to caution, but the bullish MACD crossover and support above a clear technical floor provide a cushion. The dividend announcement reinforces income appeal, and the company’s diversified insurance and title segments mitigate sector‑specific shocks. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of value and modest growth, making it a candidate for investors seeking stable returns with upside potential, provided they are comfortable with short‑term volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term support with bearish trend direction
- Positive MACD histogram indicating potential rebound
- Quarterly earnings miss tempering momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low valuation multiples relative to industry
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Strong revenue growth and solid cash flow generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and healthy return ratios
- Diversified insurance and title business reducing concentration risk
- Net‑cash position and manageable debt supporting financial stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.50%
Profit Margin10.83%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE17.28%
ROA2.95%
Debt/Equity26.84
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$2.1B
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.7
Support$38.31
Resistance$43.10
MA 20$39.80
MA 50$40.09
MA 200$41.38
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.23
Valuation
Fair Value$199.38
Target Price$42.00
Upside/Downside4.87%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.15%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility24.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.