ORCX:NASDAQDefiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF analysis
Data as of Oct 20, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $16.03
- Risk: high
- 8/10High risk
Summary
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF trades at $16.03, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. It has lost 36.2% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 40.1 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $15.50 up to resistance at $23.16.
The 1.31% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $235.2M in assets.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 111.4%, a beta of 4.44 and a maximum drawdown of 88.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The 1.31% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $235.2M in assets.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 111.4%, a beta of 4.44 and a maximum drawdown of 88.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 30.42
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 30.42
- 30-day volatility of 111.4%
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- High expense ratio of 1.31%
- 30-day volatility of 111.4%
- Beta of 4.44 versus the benchmark
Key metrics
Fund metrics
Expense Ratio1.31%
AUM$235.2M
Inception Date2025-02-06
Avg Daily Volume1,719,460
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.1
Support$15.50
Resistance$23.16
MA 20$18.65
MA 50$20.85
MA 200$30.42
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.89
Risk assessment
Beta4.44
Volatility111.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.