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ORCL:NYSEOracle Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time

$160.65

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Oracle Corporation is priced at $160.65, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have gained 33.9%. With RSI at 61.3 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at $137.43 up to resistance at $170.70.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 27.6 times earnings against the sector's 33.2. Consensus targets land 50.3% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 20.6% on a 25.4% profit margin. The 1.23% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 54.0%, a beta of 2.06 and a maximum drawdown of 65.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.

Top Market Events

Oracle reports Q1 FY2027 earnings on September 10.Oracle Corporation remains a Buy due to its OCI capacity execution, contracted AI demand, and improving liquidity.Oracle is gaining an encouraging earnings outlook as it transforms its position in the market to become a major...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 168.17
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of +33.9%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 27.6 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 168.17
  • Analyst targets imply +50.3% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 27.6 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Analyst targets imply +50.3% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 25.4% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.60%
Profit Margin25.37%
P/E Ratio27.6
ROE53.38%
ROA6.50%
Debt/Equity388.87
P/B Ratio12.3
Op. Cash Flow$32.0B
Free Cash Flow$-24536750080
Industry P/E33.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.3
Support$137.43
Resistance$170.70
MA 20$149.64
MA 50$140.38
MA 200$168.17
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.79

Valuation

Fair Value$179.97
Target Price$241.43
Upside/Downside50.28%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.23%

Risk Assessment

Beta2.06
Volatility53.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.