ORC:NYSEOrchid Island Capital, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-30 - not real-time
$6.69
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. trades at $6.69, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 2.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 51.7 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $6.31 and resistance around $6.81.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 3.8 times earnings against the sector's 32.2. Sell-side targets cluster 12.1% above the current quote. The 17.80% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 17.0%, a beta of 0.54 and a maximum drawdown of 23.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 3.8 times earnings against the sector's 32.2. Sell-side targets cluster 12.1% above the current quote. The 17.80% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 17.0%, a beta of 0.54 and a maximum drawdown of 23.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
July 2026 Monthly Dividend of $0.10 Per Share of Common StockEstimated Second Quarter 2026 Results and RMBS Portfolio...VERO BEACH, Fla., July 23, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Orchid Island Capital, Inc. NYSE: ORC "Orchid" or the "Company" , a...Orchid Island Capital Inc ORC reports a significant EPS turnaround and strategic portfolio adjustments amid market...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 7.11
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 3.8 versus sector average of 32.2
- Trading below the 200-day average of 7.11
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 3.8 versus sector average of 32.2
- Analyst targets imply +12.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 90.6% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO6.442370965899412
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.7
Support$6.31
Resistance$6.81
MA 20$6.62
MA 50$6.70
MA 200$7.11
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility17.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.