ORC:NYSEOrchid Island Capital, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 19, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $4.78
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. trades at $4.78, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 27.1%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 20.8 (oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $4.75 and resistance around $6.15.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 2.9 times earnings against the sector's 29.7. Sell-side targets cluster 57.1% above the current quote. The 24.14% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 29.9%, a beta of 0.57 and a maximum drawdown of 42.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 2.9 times earnings against the sector's 29.7. Sell-side targets cluster 57.1% above the current quote. The 24.14% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 29.9%, a beta of 0.57 and a maximum drawdown of 42.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top market events
- Orchid Island Capital reported preliminary third quarter 2026 estimates that point to a net loss of $0.
- September 2026 Monthly Dividend of $0.10 Per Share of Common StockRMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of August 31,...
- VERO BEACH, Fla., July 23, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Orchid Island Capital, Inc. NYSE: ORC "Orchid" or the "Company" , a...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 20.8 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6.85
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 20.8 signals oversold conditions
- P/E of 2.9 versus sector average of 29.7
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 2.9 versus sector average of 29.7
- Analyst targets imply +57.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 90.6% is healthy
Key metrics
REIT metrics
P/FFO4.566064396187509
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI20.8
Support$4.75
Resistance$6.15
MA 20$5.30
MA 50$6.02
MA 200$6.85
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.55
Risk assessment
Beta0.57
Volatility29.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.