ORA:NYSEOrmat Technologies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$131.78
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ormat Technologies posted a record first‑quarter 2026 revenue of $403.9 million, a 75.8% year‑over‑year increase, and EPS of $1.30 that topped consensus estimates, underscoring the strength of its energy‑storage and product lines. The stock is trading at $131.78, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (121.19) and 50‑day SMA (115.07), with the 200‑day SMA (109.22) providing strong long‑term support, while the RSI of 66.9 and a bullish MACD histogram (+1.17) signal continued upward momentum and increasing volume.
However, valuation metrics are stretched: the trailing P/E of 63.97 far exceeds the industry average of 21.6, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $85.08 suggests the market price carries a modest 2.8% upside at best. A high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 125.5 and negative free‑cash‑flow (-$178.8 million) raise concerns about financial flexibility, though the dividend yield of 0.37% with a 23% payout ratio appears sustainable given the cash balance of $654.6 million. Overall, the stock combines strong growth fundamentals and bullish technicals with an overvalued price and elevated leverage, positioning it as a high‑conviction short‑term play but a more cautious medium‑ to long‑term hold.
However, valuation metrics are stretched: the trailing P/E of 63.97 far exceeds the industry average of 21.6, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $85.08 suggests the market price carries a modest 2.8% upside at best. A high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 125.5 and negative free‑cash‑flow (-$178.8 million) raise concerns about financial flexibility, though the dividend yield of 0.37% with a 23% payout ratio appears sustainable given the cash balance of $654.6 million. Overall, the stock combines strong growth fundamentals and bullish technicals with an overvalued price and elevated leverage, positioning it as a high‑conviction short‑term play but a more cautious medium‑ to long‑term hold.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup (price above SMA20/50, MACD bullish)
- Record Q1 revenue growth of 75.8% and earnings beat
- Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Overvalued price relative to DCF fair value
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >125%) limiting upside
- Sustained dividend with modest payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term renewable energy tailwinds and global project pipeline
- Financial risk from negative free cash flow and debt load
- Potential for improved cash generation as storage segment scales
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth75.80%
Profit Margin10.96%
P/E Ratio64.0
ROE4.91%
ROA2.03%
Debt/Equity125.51
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$325.7M
Free Cash Flow$-178817120
Industry P/E21.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI66.9
Support$109.63
Resistance$138.52
MA 20$121.19
MA 50$115.07
MA 200$109.22
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$85.08
Target Price$135.45
Upside/Downside2.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.37%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.82
Volatility39.44%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.