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ORA:NYSEOrmat Technologies, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$131.78

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ormat Technologies posted a record first‑quarter 2026 revenue of $403.9 million, a 75.8% year‑over‑year increase, and EPS of $1.30 that topped consensus estimates, underscoring the strength of its energy‑storage and product lines. The stock is trading at $131.78, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (121.19) and 50‑day SMA (115.07), with the 200‑day SMA (109.22) providing strong long‑term support, while the RSI of 66.9 and a bullish MACD histogram (+1.17) signal continued upward momentum and increasing volume.
However, valuation metrics are stretched: the trailing P/E of 63.97 far exceeds the industry average of 21.6, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $85.08 suggests the market price carries a modest 2.8% upside at best. A high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 125.5 and negative free‑cash‑flow (-$178.8 million) raise concerns about financial flexibility, though the dividend yield of 0.37% with a 23% payout ratio appears sustainable given the cash balance of $654.6 million. Overall, the stock combines strong growth fundamentals and bullish technicals with an overvalued price and elevated leverage, positioning it as a high‑conviction short‑term play but a more cautious medium‑ to long‑term hold.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup (price above SMA20/50, MACD bullish)
  • Record Q1 revenue growth of 75.8% and earnings beat
  • Increasing trading volume supporting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Overvalued price relative to DCF fair value
  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >125%) limiting upside
  • Sustained dividend with modest payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term renewable energy tailwinds and global project pipeline
  • Financial risk from negative free cash flow and debt load
  • Potential for improved cash generation as storage segment scales

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth75.80%
Profit Margin10.96%
P/E Ratio64.0
ROE4.91%
ROA2.03%
Debt/Equity125.51
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$325.7M
Free Cash Flow$-178817120
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.9
Support$109.63
Resistance$138.52
MA 20$121.19
MA 50$115.07
MA 200$109.22
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

Fair Value$85.08
Target Price$135.45
Upside/Downside2.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.37%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility39.44%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.