OPY:NYSEOppenheimer Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time
$113.97
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Oppenheimer Holdings (OPY) is trading at $113.97, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $106.48 and the 50‑day SMA of $101.40, while the 200‑day SMA sits near $85, underscoring a strong long‑term uptrend. Technical momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD crossover (line $3.39 above signal $2.72) and an RSI of 64, indicating continued buying pressure without yet being overbought. Volume has been increasing, and the stock is holding above a key support level near $97.33 with resistance around $118.60, suggesting room for upside. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a trailing PE of 13.6 versus an industry average of 17.7, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $203.9 implies a >75% discount to current price, pointing to deep undervaluation. The company boasts a robust cash pile of $1.46 B against $1.40 B of debt, a low dividend payout ratio of ~8.6%, and a modest ROE of 10.5%, supporting dividend sustainability. Recent bullish sentiment from a TradersPro Substack thesis and a Yahoo Finance note highlighting the cheap PE and cash strength further reinforce the upside narrative.
Strategically, Oppenheimer’s launch of coverage for SpaceX signals a willingness to engage in high‑growth, high‑visibility deals, potentially expanding its capital‑markets franchise and enhancing fee revenue over the medium to long term.
Strategically, Oppenheimer’s launch of coverage for SpaceX signals a willingness to engage in high‑growth, high‑visibility deals, potentially expanding its capital‑markets franchise and enhancing fee revenue over the medium to long term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (price above SMA20/50, bullish MACD, RSI in healthy range)
- Significant discount to DCF fair value
- Strong cash position and low dividend payout supporting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Solid fundamentals with healthy profit margins and cash reserves
- Elevated forward PE indicating earnings pressure
- Continued volatility (45% 30‑day) requiring cautious positioning
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Deep undervaluation relative to intrinsic DCF value
- Strategic growth opportunities from new high‑profile coverage (e.g., SpaceX)
- Sustainable dividend supported by strong balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.10%
Profit Margin5.96%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROE10.53%
ROA2.62%
Debt/Equity145.37
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$90.5M
Industry P/E17.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support$97.33
Resistance$118.60
MA 20$106.48
MA 50$101.40
MA 200$85.09
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.63
Valuation
Fair Value$203.91
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.69%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility45.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.