ONON:NYSEOn Holding AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-14 - not real-time
$31.57
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $31.57, On Holding AG shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 14.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 34.8 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $30.11 and resistance around $39.05.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 21.3, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 66.2% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 13.5% on a 12.3% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 75.4%, a beta of 1.32 and a maximum drawdown of 38.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 21.3, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 66.2% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 13.5% on a 12.3% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 75.4%, a beta of 1.32 and a maximum drawdown of 38.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Business Wire16dOn to Release Second Quarter 2026 Results on Tuesday, August 11, 2026ZURICH, Switzerland-- BUSINESS...On Holding stock plunged 22% after Q2 2026 revenue missed Wall Street consensus, but the selloff came from a deliberate...Hosted on MSN24dOn Holding AG ONON is attracting investor attention: Here is what you should knowOn Holding ONON is one...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 40.26
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 40.26
- Analyst targets imply +66.2% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +66.2% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +13.5%
- P/E ratio of 21.3
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.50%
Profit Margin12.30%
P/E Ratio21.3
ROE23.95%
ROA9.58%
Debt/Equity29.43
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash Flow$525.4M
Free Cash Flow$288.5M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.8
Support$30.11
Resistance$39.05
MA 20$36.04
MA 50$36.78
MA 200$40.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.59
Valuation
Fair Value$21.44
Target Price$52.48
Upside/Downside66.23%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.32
Volatility75.38%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.