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ONL:NYSEOrion Properties Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$2.91

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at $2.91, sitting just below the $3.03 resistance level and comfortably above the $2.415 support, while the 20‑day SMA (2.777) is above both the 50‑day (2.464) and 200‑day (2.473) averages, hinting at short‑term bullish bias. RSI 62.9 signals the price is nearing overbought territory, and the MACD has turned bearish with a negative histogram, compounded by a decreasing volume trend, suggesting weakening momentum.
Fundamentally, the REIT is strained – trailing EPS is -2.55, forward EPS -0.35, and free cash flow is a negative $46.5 M, while debt stands at $494 M versus a market cap of $165 M (debt‑to‑equity 81%). Nevertheless, it trades at a very low price‑to‑book of 0.26 and offers a 2.75% dividend yield with a zero payout ratio, which may attract income‑focused investors.
Analyst coverage is thin (one analyst) but the consensus is a “buy” with a target mean/median price of $3.00, implying roughly 3% upside. The market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” (fear‑greed index 89.27) and the stock’s beta of 1.39 makes it sensitive to broader market swings. Overall, the valuation and dividend provide modest upside, yet weak earnings, negative cash flow, high leverage, and sector headwinds in office REITs temper the outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Near‑overbought RSI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low price‑to‑book (0.26)
  • 2.75% dividend yield
  • Target price $3.00 suggests modest upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load relative to market cap
  • Negative free cash flow
  • Office sector structural challenges

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO9.137777876008398

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.9
Support$2.41
Resistance$3.03
MA 20$2.78
MA 50$2.46
MA 200$2.47
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.27

Risk Assessment

Beta1.39
Volatility38.86%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.