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ONIT:NYSEOnity Group Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-22 - not real-time

$45.99

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Onity Group (ONIT) trades at a strikingly low P/E of ~2x versus an industry average of ~17.6x and a P/B of 0.62, suggesting deep value. The stock is above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, RSI is 66 and MACD is bullish, placing price near the technical resistance of $46.2. Revenue is expanding at 29% with a 94% gross margin, yet operating and free cash flow are negative and debt‑to‑equity exceeds 2,000%, highlighting severe leverage risk. Volatility is high at ~35% over 30 days and beta is above 1, indicating sensitivity to market moves. Recent material news notes the rebranding of PHH Mortgage to Onity Mortgage, which may help clarify the brand but does not materially shift the financial outlook. Overall, the stock offers an attractive valuation cushion but is weighed down by cash‑flow deficits and a massive debt load.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near technical resistance at $46.2
  • Bullish MACD and RSI below overbought levels
  • High short‑term volatility and modest trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 29% and strong gross margins
  • Valuation multiples far below peers (P/E ~2, P/B <1)
  • Analyst consensus of strong‑buy with a $60 target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Excessive debt and negative cash flow raise solvency concerns
  • Potential for improved cash generation as mortgage servicing assets mature
  • Sector exposure to interest‑rate cycles and regulatory changes

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth29.00%
Profit Margin17.76%
P/E Ratio2.1
ROE32.38%
ROA2.20%
Debt/Equity2169.34
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-748000000
Free Cash Flow$-514400000
Industry P/E17.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI66.2
Support$36.89
Resistance$46.17
MA 20$41.96
MA 50$41.23
MA 200$41.73
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.73

Valuation

Target Price$60.00
Upside/Downside30.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.18
Volatility34.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.