ONEW:NASDAQOneWater Marine Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-31 - not real-time
$11.01
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
ONEW is trading at $11.01, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈$10.90) and 50‑day (≈$10.30) moving averages but still below the 200‑day level (≈$12.80), suggesting short‑term momentum with long‑term caution. The RSI sits near the midpoint at 53 and the MACD histogram is positive, reinforcing a modest bullish tilt. Volume is trending down and beta is high (≈1.94), indicating pronounced price swings and liquidity concerns. Fundamentally, the company bears a heavy debt load (debt‑to‑equity >350%) and posted a negative profit margin (-6.7%), yet forward earnings are projected positive and the DCF model values the stock around $26.80, implying roughly 22% upside from current levels. Recent insider buying by the executive chairman and a reported improvement in margins and reduction in debt provide a catalyst for a near‑term bounce, while the broader “K‑shaped yacht economy” narrative underscores the sector’s sensitivity to discretionary spending. Overall, the stock appears undervalued on a valuation basis but remains exposed to high volatility, leverage, and cyclical demand risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Insider purchase signals confidence
- Bullish MACD and price above short‑term averages
- Current price well below DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Improving operating margins and debt reduction
- Continued exposure to cyclical marine demand
- High leverage still constraining earnings stability
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated volatility and beta indicating price swings
- Negative historical profitability and ROE
- Potential upside if debt is managed and earnings turn sustainable
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-8.50%
Profit Margin-6.69%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE-37.74%
ROA2.70%
Debt/Equity353.25
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$76.9M
Free Cash Flow$100.4M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI53.1
Support$9.41
Resistance$12.50
MA 20$10.90
MA 50$10.30
MA 200$12.80
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07
Valuation
Fair Value$26.81
Target Price$13.50
Upside/Downside22.62%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.94
Volatility70.00%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.