ONDG:NASDAQLeverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$4.69
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
ONDG is trading at $4.69, well below its 20‑day SMA of 5.64 and the 50‑day SMA of 6.19, indicating a persistent downtrend. The MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, while the RSI sits at 42.7, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. Volatility is extreme at 189% over the past 30 days and the fund’s beta of 5.20 far exceeds market averages, amplifying price swings. A historic max drawdown of -73.8% underscores the potential for rapid losses, and the 0.75% expense ratio erodes returns on an already volatile vehicle.
The fund’s liquidity is modestly supported by an increasing volume trend and daily volumes around 1.2 million shares, but the leveraged 2× daily reset structure adds compounding risk, especially in a bearish environment. The Fear & Greed Index at Extreme Greed reflects market optimism that may not translate to this leveraged equity product, which is currently exposed to high sector concentration and tracking uncertainty. Investors should treat ONDG as a high‑risk tactical play rather than a core holding.
The fund’s liquidity is modestly supported by an increasing volume trend and daily volumes around 1.2 million shares, but the leveraged 2× daily reset structure adds compounding risk, especially in a bearish environment. The Fear & Greed Index at Extreme Greed reflects market optimism that may not translate to this leveraged equity product, which is currently exposed to high sector concentration and tracking uncertainty. Investors should treat ONDG as a high‑risk tactical play rather than a core holding.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical alignment (SMA cross, MACD)
- Extreme short‑term volatility
- Increasing volume confirming downside pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside if underlying ONDS rebounds
- High expense ratio and leveraged decay risk
- Uncertain market sentiment despite extreme greed index
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Structural risk of daily 2× leverage
- Historical max drawdown of over 70%
- Sustained high beta and volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$14.2M
Inception Date2026-01-12
Avg Daily Volume1,430,340
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.7
Support$4.56
Resistance$8.40
MA 20$5.64
MA 50$6.19
MA 200$7.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Risk Assessment
Beta5.20
Volatility189.20%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.