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ONDG:NASDAQLeverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

$4.27

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The ONDG ETF is trading at $4.27, just above its recent support of $3.97 but well below the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs of 6.04, indicating a bearish price bias. RSI at 40.8 suggests modest downside momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming the bearish trend direction. The fund’s 30‑day volatility of 248% and a beta of 5.85 underscore extreme price swings, amplified by its 2× daily leverage. A max drawdown of roughly 75% highlights the potential for rapid capital erosion, especially in a market environment flagged by a Fear & Greed Index of 91.46 (Extreme Greed). Liquidity appears to be weakening, with volume trending downwards despite an average 10‑day volume above 1.4 M shares. The expense ratio of 0.75% further erodes returns in a product that has no tracking error but carries inherent leveraged decay. Given these dynamics, the ETF’s risk profile is dominated by high volatility, concentration in a single semiconductor‑related stock, and the daily reset mechanism, making it suitable only for speculative short‑term plays rather than a core holding.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and RSI below 50
  • Proximity to support level with decreasing volume
  • Extreme volatility and high beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Daily leverage reset risk
  • High expense ratio eroding returns
  • Lack of historical performance data since Jan 2026

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Leveraged decay over time
  • Concentration in a single semiconductor stock
  • Historical max drawdown of ~75%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$30.5M
Inception Date2026-01-12
Avg Daily Volume1,460,070
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.8
Support$3.97
Resistance$10.74
MA 20$6.04
MA 50$6.04
MA 200$7.31
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Risk Assessment

Beta5.85
Volatility248.40%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.