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ONBPP:NASDAQOld National Bancorp - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of Series A Preferred Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time

$24.76

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Old National Bancorp (ONBPP) trades around $24.76, just below its 20‑day SMA (24.76) and marginally under the 50‑day SMA (24.89), indicating a subtle bearish bias. Technical signals are mixed: RSI sits at 46.9 (neutral), MACD shows a bullish crossover with a small positive histogram, and volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure. The stock sits between a support level of $24.41 and resistance at $24.95, while broader market sentiment is in "Extreme Greed" (Fear & Greed Index 83).
Fundamentally, the company posts robust revenue growth of 46% YoY, high operating (51%) and profit margins (30%), and a solid ROE of ~10%. However, the forward P/E of 27.8 vastly exceeds the industry average of 17, flagging potential overvaluation. The dividend yield is attractive at 7.07% with a $1.75 per‑share payout, and cash flow appears sufficient to sustain it despite a sizable debt balance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical trend with decreasing volume
  • Price near immediate support/resistance range
  • High dividend yield provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • Dividend yield remains attractive
  • Valuation premium relative to industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
  • Elevated debt level warrants monitoring
  • Banking sector cyclicality and regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth46.20%
Profit Margin30.25%
P/E Ratio27.8
ROE10.08%
ROA1.20%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$779.4M
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.9
Support$24.41
Resistance$24.95
MA 20$24.76
MA 50$24.89
MA 200$25.10
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility8.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.