ONBPP:NASDAQOld National Bancorp - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of Series A Preferred Stock Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-22 - not real-time
$25.12
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading just above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, indicating a flat short‑term price landscape. A neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish MACD histogram suggests modest momentum, while the RSI hovers around the midpoint, reflecting no clear overbought or oversold condition. Volume has been on a downtrend, which combined with a bearish overall trend direction, points to limited buying pressure. The price sits near the identified resistance level, and the support level remains modestly below current levels.
On the fundamentals side, revenue has surged by over 40% year‑over‑year, delivering a robust operating margin above 45% and a healthy profit margin. Cash balances exceed $1.9 billion, but total debt remains high, resulting in a leverage profile that warrants attention. The price‑to‑earnings multiple is markedly above the industry average, suggesting the market is pricing in strong growth expectations. The bank’s beta is exceptionally low, implying limited sensitivity to broader market swings, while 30‑day volatility is under 10%, indicating relatively stable price swings. The sector faces medium regulatory scrutiny and modest geographic concentration in the United States, which tempers systemic risk. Given the mix of strong earnings growth, elevated valuation, and subdued price momentum, the stock appears positioned for a cautious stance pending clearer directional cues.
On the fundamentals side, revenue has surged by over 40% year‑over‑year, delivering a robust operating margin above 45% and a healthy profit margin. Cash balances exceed $1.9 billion, but total debt remains high, resulting in a leverage profile that warrants attention. The price‑to‑earnings multiple is markedly above the industry average, suggesting the market is pricing in strong growth expectations. The bank’s beta is exceptionally low, implying limited sensitivity to broader market swings, while 30‑day volatility is under 10%, indicating relatively stable price swings. The sector faces medium regulatory scrutiny and modest geographic concentration in the United States, which tempers systemic risk. Given the mix of strong earnings growth, elevated valuation, and subdued price momentum, the stock appears positioned for a cautious stance pending clearer directional cues.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish overall trend direction
- Decreasing volume trend
- Price near resistance level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and operating margins
- Elevated P/E relative to industry
- Low beta and modest volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustained cash generation versus debt load
- Stable sector fundamentals
- Valuation premium requiring continued growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth41.40%
Profit Margin29.09%
P/E Ratio28.2
ROE9.02%
ROA1.07%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$681.5M
Industry P/E17.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI53.7
Support$24.60
Resistance$25.25
MA 20$24.99
MA 50$25.04
MA 200$25.15
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.88
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility9.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.