OLN:NYSEOlin Corporation Analysis

Olin Corp. (OLN) is trading at $26.31, just above its 20‑day SMA and below the 200‑day SMA, with the price hovering near a $25.57 support level and a $29.26 resistance. The 30‑day volatility is high at ~48% and beta exceeds 1.3, indicating a volatile, beta‑rich profile, while the RSI of 44 and a bearish MACD suggest limited short‑term upside. Fundamentally, the company posted a Q1 loss of $83 M and a negative operating margin, yet its DCF fair value of $27.65 implies roughly a 10% upside, and a 3.04% dividend yield is attractive despite a payout ratio above 170%.
The balance sheet shows a heavy debt load (DE ratio ~191) and weak ROE, but operating cash flow remains positive and free cash flow is solid. Recent guidance points to improved Q2 EBITDA of $160‑$200 M as pricing improves, and analysts are largely neutral with a “hold” consensus. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: modest valuation upside tempered by earnings weakness, high leverage, and an unsustainable dividend policy.