OKE:NYSEONEOK, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$94.03
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ONEOK is trading at $94.03, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈90.16) and 50‑day (≈88.68) moving averages and well above the 200‑day level (≈78.13), confirming a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.50) further underscore upward momentum, while the price sits just below the identified resistance at $96.07, suggesting limited upside in the very short term. Analyst sentiment is upbeat, with a consensus “Buy” rating from 21 analysts and a median price target of $94, reflecting confidence in the stock’s near‑term trajectory.
Fundamentally, OKE delivers robust top‑line growth of nearly 20% YoY, a PE of 16.8 that is well under the industry average of 21.6, and a dividend yield of 4.55% backed by a 74% payout ratio. Despite a hefty debt load (DE/Equity ≈150%) the company generates solid operating cash flow (~$5.6 B) and modest free cash flow, supporting dividend sustainability. Recent Q1 earnings beat expectations on EBITDA, and the company raised its 2026 guidance, reinforcing the bullish narrative while the high‑yield dividend remains a key attraction for income‑focused investors.
Fundamentally, OKE delivers robust top‑line growth of nearly 20% YoY, a PE of 16.8 that is well under the industry average of 21.6, and a dividend yield of 4.55% backed by a 74% payout ratio. Despite a hefty debt load (DE/Equity ≈150%) the company generates solid operating cash flow (~$5.6 B) and modest free cash flow, supporting dividend sustainability. Recent Q1 earnings beat expectations on EBITDA, and the company raised its 2026 guidance, reinforcing the bullish narrative while the high‑yield dividend remains a key attraction for income‑focused investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technicals (price above SMAs, bullish MACD)
- Analyst upgrades and raised guidance
- High dividend yield attracting income investors
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (~20% YoY)
- Undervalued relative to industry PE
- Sustainable cash flow supporting dividend and debt service
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt-to-equity ratio posing balance‑sheet risk
- Stable midstream business model with low beta exposure
- Consistent dividend income but limited growth beyond mid‑term
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth19.60%
Profit Margin10.03%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE15.90%
ROA5.66%
Debt/Equity149.64
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$5.6B
Free Cash Flow$454.4M
Industry P/E21.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.6
Support$83.66
Resistance$96.07
MA 20$90.16
MA 50$88.68
MA 200$78.13
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Target Price$95.00
Upside/Downside1.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.55%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.12
Volatility29.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.