ODDS:CFIPCR BLSTR DG ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$24.58
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ODDS ETF is trading at $24.58, well below its 200‑day SMA of $28.64, indicating a long‑term downtrend despite a neutral 20‑day SMA crossover. Momentum metrics are mixed: the RSI sits at 55.7 (neutral) while the MACD histogram is negative, signaling short‑term bearish pressure. Volatility remains elevated at 21.3% over the past 30 days and the fund has suffered a 35.2% max drawdown, underscoring heightened risk. YTD performance is –15.7% and volume, although increasing, stays thin (average 720 shares vs 179 today), raising liquidity concerns. The expense ratio of 0.49% is moderate, and the fund’s beta of 1.08 suggests it moves slightly more than the broader market. Despite these challenges, the broader market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” territory, which could provide short‑term upside if risk appetite spikes.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Price below 200‑day SMA and bearish MACD
- Elevated short‑term volatility and thin trading volume
- Extreme greed market sentiment may trigger short‑term rallies
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential recovery in digital entertainment demand
- Moderate beta (1.08) and still‑elevated volatility
- Sector concentration risk remains high
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Three‑year return of ~7.4% shows growth potential
- Digital entertainment is a secular growth theme
- Expense ratio acceptable for a niche technology ETF
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.49%
AUM$3.9M
Inception Date2022-04-07
Avg Daily Volume720
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.89%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.7
Support$23.82
Resistance$25.35
MA 20$24.28
MA 50$24.13
MA 200$28.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Risk Assessment
Beta1.08
Volatility21.28%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.