NYT:NYSENew York Times Company (The) Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-21 - not real-time
$81.07
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The New York Times Company is trading at $81.07, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 82.51 and the 50‑day SMA of 79.65, while the 200‑day SMA sits at 66.05, indicating a bullish long‑term trend. Volume is increasing and the price is holding above the identified support level of $75.98, yet the MACD histogram is negative (‑0.57) and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term momentum may be waning. The RSI of 50.2 points to a neutral stance, and the stock sits near the upper end of its 52‑week range ($87.10 resistance).
Fundamentally, NYT delivers strong revenue growth of 10.5% and healthy operating margins (20.8%), supported by a robust subscription base and diversified digital products. However, the forward‑looking DCF fair value of $62.10 is well below the current price, producing a downside of roughly 10%, and the PE ratio of 38.8× far exceeds the industry average of 19.1×, flagging potential overvaluation. The dividend yield of 1.15% with a payout ratio of 40.7% appears sustainable given ample cash flow and modest debt levels.
Fundamentally, NYT delivers strong revenue growth of 10.5% and healthy operating margins (20.8%), supported by a robust subscription base and diversified digital products. However, the forward‑looking DCF fair value of $62.10 is well below the current price, producing a downside of roughly 10%, and the PE ratio of 38.8× far exceeds the industry average of 19.1×, flagging potential overvaluation. The dividend yield of 1.15% with a payout ratio of 40.7% appears sustainable given ample cash flow and modest debt levels.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bearish MACD
- Increasing volume but neutral RSI
- Support level at $75.98 provides downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 10.5% and strong operating margins
- Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
- Bullish long‑term trend above 200‑day SMA
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Brand strength and expanding digital subscription ecosystem
- Consistent cash generation and low leverage
- Diversified product mix (news, sports, cooking, audio) reducing reliance on any single line
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin12.29%
P/E Ratio38.8
ROE17.33%
ROA9.43%
Debt/Equity2.39
P/B Ratio6.4
Op. Cash Flow$584.5M
Free Cash Flow$445.9M
Industry P/E19.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.2
Support$75.98
Resistance$87.10
MA 20$82.51
MA 50$79.65
MA 200$66.05
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.07
Valuation
Fair Value$62.10
Target Price$72.88
Upside/Downside-10.10%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.15%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility27.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.