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NXPL:NASDAQNextPlat Corp Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$5.68

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

NextPlat Corp trades at a discount to its book value (price $5.68 vs. book $6.10) and exhibits an ultra‑low price‑to‑sales multiple (~0.3x), suggesting a potentially undervalued equity despite a recent 62% drawdown and 80% 30‑day volatility. The company’s fundamentals remain weak – revenue is down 32% YoY, operating margins are deeply negative and EPS is –$4.07 – but the latest Q1 2026 press releases highlight a turnaround: gross margins have risen to a record 35%, operating expenses are down 9% sequentially, and management expects positive operating income by H2 2026. Technically, the 20‑day SMA sits above the 50‑day SMA, yet the price remains below the 200‑day SMA, the MACD is bearish and volume is slipping, indicating short‑term weakness.
Given the high beta (1.39), shrinking liquidity (average daily volume under 10k shares), and exposure to both healthcare and e‑commerce regulatory environments, the stock carries elevated risk. However, the margin expansion narrative combined with a deep valuation gap could reward patient investors if the operational improvements materialize.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal near‑term price pressure
  • Current price still below key support at $5.38
  • Turnaround benefits not yet reflected in earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Projected gross margin expansion to >34% and expense reductions
  • Valuation discount to book and low price‑to‑sales ratio
  • Management guidance toward positive operating income in H2 2026

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Structural exposure to volatile technology and healthcare markets
  • High beta and historical drawdown raise downside risk
  • Potential for sustainable profitability if turnaround stays on track

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-32.20%
Profit Margin-19.18%
ROE-45.94%
ROA-15.63%
Debt/Equity10.81
P/B Ratio0.9
Industry P/E38.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.8
Support$5.38
Resistance$7.40
MA 20$6.44
MA 50$5.58
MA 200$6.55
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.39
Volatility80.91%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.