NXDR:NYSENextdoor Holdings, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 1, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $2.43
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. trades at $2.43, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.6%. RSI sits at 51.6, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $2.13 and resistance around $2.65.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 37.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 14.5% on a -11.1% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 45.2%, a beta of 1.38 and a maximum drawdown of 50.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 37.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 14.5% on a -11.1% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 45.2%, a beta of 1.38 and a maximum drawdown of 50.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top market events
- Motley Fool Transcribing, The Motley Fool Aug 12, 2026 0 Image source: The Motley Fool.
- Nextdoor NXDR delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +50.
- Seeking Alpha1monNextdoor forecasts low teens 2026 revenue growth and ~10% adjusted EBITDA margin as Q3 revenue is...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 2.01
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day volatility of 45.2%
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 2.01
- Analyst targets imply +37.9% versus the current price
- 30-day volatility of 45.2%
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -11.1%
- Analyst targets imply +37.9% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -7.2%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth14.50%
Profit Margin-11.08%
P/E Ratio-66.3
ROE-7.24%
ROA-5.36%
Debt/Equity6.75
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$12.8M
Free Cash Flow$22.9M
Industry P/E15.3
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI51.6
Support$2.13
Resistance$2.65
MA 20$2.38
MA 50$2.39
MA 200$2.01
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.29
Valuation
Fair Value$2.21
Target Price$3.35
Upside/Downside37.86%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta1.38
Volatility45.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.