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NXDR:NYSENextdoor Holdings, Inc. analysis

Data as of Oct 1, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$2.43
Risk: high
9/10High risk

Summary

Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. trades at $2.43, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.6%. RSI sits at 51.6, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $2.13 and resistance around $2.65.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 37.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 14.5% on a -11.1% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 45.2%, a beta of 1.38 and a maximum drawdown of 50.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.

Top market events

  • Motley Fool Transcribing, The Motley Fool Aug 12, 2026 0 Image source: The Motley Fool.
  • Nextdoor NXDR delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +50.
  • Seeking Alpha1monNextdoor forecasts low teens 2026 revenue growth and ~10% adjusted EBITDA margin as Q3 revenue is...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Positive

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 2.01
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day volatility of 45.2%

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 2.01
  • Analyst targets imply +37.9% versus the current price
  • 30-day volatility of 45.2%

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Negative profit margin of -11.1%
  • Analyst targets imply +37.9% versus the current price
  • Negative return on equity of -7.2%

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth14.50%
Profit Margin-11.08%
P/E Ratio-66.3
ROE-7.24%
ROA-5.36%
Debt/Equity6.75
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$12.8M
Free Cash Flow$22.9M
Industry P/E15.3

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.6
Support$2.13
Resistance$2.65
MA 20$2.38
MA 50$2.39
MA 200$2.01
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.29

Valuation

Fair Value$2.21
Target Price$3.35
Upside/Downside37.86%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk assessment

Beta1.38
Volatility45.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.