NWPX:NASDAQNWPX Infrastructure, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-21 - not real-time
$82.63
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NWPX is trading at $82.63, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 80.87 and 50‑day SMA of 77.40, indicating short‑term bullish momentum. The 200‑day SMA sits at 60.88, reinforcing a long‑term uptrend. RSI at 56 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions. MACD shows a bearish signal as the line (2.02) sits below its signal (2.17) with a negative histogram. Volume is increasing despite daily volume lagging the 10‑day average, hinting renewed trader interest. The price sits near the identified support at $74.71 and well below the resistance at $89.24, offering upside potential of roughly 1.7% per the DCF model.
Fundamentals reveal modest 5% revenue growth and an operating margin of 9.2%, but a gross margin under 20% reflects the capital‑intensive steel segment. The forward PE of 16.86 contrasts with a trailing PE of 23.21, indicating earnings acceleration expectations. However, the DCF fair value of $44.98 is far below the market price, flagging the stock as overvalued. The company carries $109.9 M of debt versus $2.3 M of cash, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 27.8. Volatility is elevated at 42% over the past 30 days and beta of 1.16, exposing the stock to market swings. Recent news shows a short‑term price surge on volume but also a pullback after a peer’s weak earnings, underscoring mixed sentiment.
Fundamentals reveal modest 5% revenue growth and an operating margin of 9.2%, but a gross margin under 20% reflects the capital‑intensive steel segment. The forward PE of 16.86 contrasts with a trailing PE of 23.21, indicating earnings acceleration expectations. However, the DCF fair value of $44.98 is far below the market price, flagging the stock as overvalued. The company carries $109.9 M of debt versus $2.3 M of cash, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 27.8. Volatility is elevated at 42% over the past 30 days and beta of 1.16, exposing the stock to market swings. Recent news shows a short‑term price surge on volume but also a pullback after a peer’s weak earnings, underscoring mixed sentiment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD crossover despite bullish SMA alignment
- Proximity to resistance level limiting upside
- Recent peer weakness in the steel sector
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Modest revenue growth and improving forward earnings
- Forward PE compression versus trailing PE
- Elevated volatility and beta indicating market sensitivity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for water‑related infrastructure
- Strong operating cash flow supporting reinvestment
- Strategic positioning in a regulated utility‑adjacent market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin6.73%
P/E Ratio23.2
ROE9.21%
ROA5.29%
Debt/Equity27.84
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$67.3M
Free Cash Flow$32.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.2
Support$74.71
Resistance$89.24
MA 20$80.87
MA 50$77.40
MA 200$60.88
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.57
Valuation
Fair Value$44.98
Target Price$84.00
Upside/Downside1.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.16
Volatility42.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.