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NWGL:NASDAQCL Workshop Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$0.86

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

NWGL is trading well below its 30‑day DCF fair value, with the price around $0.86 versus a calculated fair value near $1.95, suggesting a substantial discount. Technical signals are bearish: the 20‑day SMA sits beneath the 50‑day SMA, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, while the RSI hovers near the neutral 45 level. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the stock is approaching its identified support around $0.75, with resistance near $1.09. The equity exhibits extreme volatility (≈59% 30‑day) and a beta close to 2, indicating high sensitivity to market moves. Fundamentally, the company reports negative revenue growth, thin gross margins (~10%), operating losses exceeding 50% of revenue, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 160%, placing it in a distressed financial position. Despite a price‑to‑book of 3.78, the lack of earnings (negative EPS) and zero dividend further underline the weak earnings profile. The recent Nasdaq notice of bid‑price deficiency adds regulatory pressure and could trigger listing risks. Overall, the stock is deeply discounted but carries significant operational, financial, and market risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical setup (SMA20 < SMA50, MACD bearish)
  • Decreasing volume and proximity to support level
  • Nasdaq bid‑price deficiency notice raising listing risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • Potential upside if the company can stabilize cash flows
  • Continued high volatility and elevated beta limiting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term undervaluation relative to intrinsic estimate
  • Heavy debt load and negative margins requiring structural turnaround
  • Exposure to cyclical lumber market and macro‑economic headwinds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.90%
Profit Margin-40.16%
ROE-99.65%
ROA-8.80%
Debt/Equity161.06
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$-906867
Free Cash Flow$2.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.6
Support$0.75
Resistance$1.09
MA 20$0.90
MA 50$0.91
MA 200$1.21
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.77

Valuation

Fair Value$1.95
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.98
Volatility58.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.