NWGL:NASDAQCL Workshop Group Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$0.86
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
NWGL is trading well below its 30‑day DCF fair value, with the price around $0.86 versus a calculated fair value near $1.95, suggesting a substantial discount. Technical signals are bearish: the 20‑day SMA sits beneath the 50‑day SMA, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, while the RSI hovers near the neutral 45 level. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the stock is approaching its identified support around $0.75, with resistance near $1.09. The equity exhibits extreme volatility (≈59% 30‑day) and a beta close to 2, indicating high sensitivity to market moves. Fundamentally, the company reports negative revenue growth, thin gross margins (~10%), operating losses exceeding 50% of revenue, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 160%, placing it in a distressed financial position. Despite a price‑to‑book of 3.78, the lack of earnings (negative EPS) and zero dividend further underline the weak earnings profile. The recent Nasdaq notice of bid‑price deficiency adds regulatory pressure and could trigger listing risks. Overall, the stock is deeply discounted but carries significant operational, financial, and market risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical setup (SMA20 < SMA50, MACD bearish)
- Decreasing volume and proximity to support level
- Nasdaq bid‑price deficiency notice raising listing risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
- Potential upside if the company can stabilize cash flows
- Continued high volatility and elevated beta limiting upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term undervaluation relative to intrinsic estimate
- Heavy debt load and negative margins requiring structural turnaround
- Exposure to cyclical lumber market and macro‑economic headwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.90%
Profit Margin-40.16%
ROE-99.65%
ROA-8.80%
Debt/Equity161.06
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$-906867
Free Cash Flow$2.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.6
Support$0.75
Resistance$1.09
MA 20$0.90
MA 50$0.91
MA 200$1.21
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.77
Valuation
Fair Value$1.95
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.98
Volatility58.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.