NVYY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
$13.08
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NVYY is trading at $13.08, well below its 20‑day SMA of $13.71, 50‑day SMA of $14.03 and 200‑day SMA of $18.63, confirming a bearish price trend. The RSI sits at 30.2, indicating the ETF is oversold, while the MACD line (-0.281) is under the signal line (-0.226) and produces a negative histogram, reinforcing bearish momentum. Volume is decreasing and 30‑day volatility is high at 22.9%, suggesting limited buying pressure and heightened price swings. The fund carries a high beta of 1.23, a max drawdown of -53.4% since inception, and an expense ratio of 1.15%, all pointing to elevated risk. Despite these challenges, the ETF distributes weekly income, as highlighted in the May 21, 2026 announcement of regular distributions for the YieldBOOST family, providing a modest dividend yield of 1.48%. The market sentiment is extremely greedy (Fear & Greed Index 83.77), which could fuel short‑term buying interest.
Given its recent launch (May 2025), modest assets of $51.7 M, zero tracking error, and no premium/discount, NVYY offers a pure exposure to NVDA‑focused derivative income but suffers from concentration risk in the technology sector. Investors should weigh the attractive weekly yield against the pronounced downside risk, high expense, and liquidity constraints before deciding on a position.
Given its recent launch (May 2025), modest assets of $51.7 M, zero tracking error, and no premium/discount, NVYY offers a pure exposure to NVDA‑focused derivative income but suffers from concentration risk in the technology sector. Investors should weigh the attractive weekly yield against the pronounced downside risk, high expense, and liquidity constraints before deciding on a position.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technicals (price below SMA, negative MACD)
- Oversold RSI suggesting limited upside
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Weekly distribution income supporting cash flow
- High expense ratio eroding net returns
- Sector concentration in NVDA/technology
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential recovery of NVDA exposure and derivative income strategy
- Zero tracking error and transparent structure
- Current oversold condition may offer a value entry point
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.15%
AUM$51.7M
Inception Date2025-05-12
Avg Daily Volume99,170
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield148.05%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.2
Support$13.00
Resistance$14.34
MA 20$13.71
MA 50$14.03
MA 200$18.63
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.77
Risk Assessment
Beta1.23
Volatility22.94%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.