NVYY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
$12.19
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NVYY is trading below its 20‑day (12.50) and 50‑day (12.96) SMAs, with a 200‑day SMA at 16.66, signaling a clear bearish price trend. The RSI of 33.6 suggests the ETF is approaching oversold territory, yet the MACD remains in a bearish configuration and volume is on a decreasing trajectory, underscoring weak momentum. With a beta of 1.13, the fund amplifies market moves, and its historic max drawdown of nearly 57% highlights substantial downside risk. The weekly distribution has slipped 10% week‑over‑week, dragging the effective dividend yield down to roughly 1.14% despite an advertised 45% annual rate, which may deter income‑focused investors.
Investor sentiment is at an extreme‑greed level (Fear & Greed Index 92.9), but the technical picture remains fragile. Given the ETF’s concentrated exposure to NVIDIA‑related derivatives, low liquidity (declining volume and modest $39 M AUM), and a lack of tracking error, the primary concerns are sector concentration and liquidity rather than tracking fidelity.
Investor sentiment is at an extreme‑greed level (Fear & Greed Index 92.9), but the technical picture remains fragile. Given the ETF’s concentrated exposure to NVIDIA‑related derivatives, low liquidity (declining volume and modest $39 M AUM), and a lack of tracking error, the primary concerns are sector concentration and liquidity rather than tracking fidelity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key SMAs and bearish MACD
- Decreasing trading volume
- High sector concentration in NVDA derivatives
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential oversold rebound indicated by RSI
- Stable expense ratio and zero tracking error
- Continued dividend distribution albeit at lower rate
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term upside potential of NVIDIA’s AI ecosystem
- Yield‑boost structure may enhance total return over time
- Extreme‑greed market sentiment could support price appreciation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.15%
AUM$39.3M
Inception Date2025-05-12
Avg Daily Volume30,180
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield114.21%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.6
Support$12.05
Resistance$12.75
MA 20$12.50
MA 50$12.96
MA 200$16.66
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Risk Assessment
Beta1.13
Volatility13.57%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.