NVYY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-21 - not real-time
$14.36
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NVYY is currently trading at $14.36, just above its 30‑day support of $13.85 and well below its 200‑day SMA of $21.02, indicating a bearish medium‑term trend. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (14.36) sits below the 50‑day SMA (15.48), RSI is at 39.6 (near oversold), and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting a short‑term bullish tilt despite the overall bearish direction. The fund carries a high beta of 1.27, 30‑day volatility of 26%, and a historic max drawdown of over 50%, underscoring elevated price risk. On the income side, the ETF announced a weekly distribution of $0.2109, which translates to a modest yield but is offset by a steep 1.15% expense ratio. Liquidity appears stable with average volumes around 77k‑106k shares, yet the ETF’s single‑stock concentration in NVDA amplifies sector‑specific risk. The market sentiment, reflected by an “Extreme Greed” fear‑greed index of 86.68, may be fueling price pressure.
Given these dynamics, investors should weigh the potential short‑term bounce against the pronounced downside risk and high concentration exposure before deciding on positioning.
Given these dynamics, investors should weigh the potential short‑term bounce against the pronounced downside risk and high concentration exposure before deciding on positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with mixed bullish/bearish signals
- Weekly distribution provides modest income cushion
- High volatility and recent bearish trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential rebound from oversold RSI and positive MACD histogram
- Yield boost from weekly distributions
- Continued market optimism reflected in extreme greed index
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong single‑stock exposure to NVDA limits diversification benefits
- Elevated expense ratio erodes long‑term returns
- High beta and historical drawdown suggest sustained risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.15%
AUM$60.9M
Inception Date2025-05-12
Avg Daily Volume77,480
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.6
Support$13.85
Resistance$15.12
MA 20$14.36
MA 50$15.48
MA 200$21.02
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.68
Risk Assessment
Beta1.27
Volatility26.09%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.