NVX:NASDAQNOVONIX Limited - American Depository Shares Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time
$0.41
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
NOVONIX Limited is priced at $0.4070 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have lost 8.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 42.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $0.3690 as support and $0.4870 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Sell-side targets cluster 637.1% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.1%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 49.0%, a beta of 2.18 and a maximum drawdown of 87.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Sell-side targets cluster 637.1% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.1%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 49.0%, a beta of 2.18 and a maximum drawdown of 87.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 0.87
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 0.87
- Analyst targets imply +637.1% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +637.1% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -62.0%
- Revenue contracting at -10.1%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.10%
P/E Ratio-1.8
ROE-61.97%
ROA-12.82%
Debt/Equity62.06
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$-42199800
Free Cash Flow$-84516512
Industry P/E30.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.0
Support$0.37
Resistance$0.49
MA 20$0.41
MA 50$0.50
MA 200$0.87
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.82
Valuation
Target Price$3.00
Upside/Downside637.10%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.18
Volatility49.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.