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NVX:NASDAQNOVONIX Limited - American Depository Shares Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time

$0.41

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

NOVONIX Limited is priced at $0.4070 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have lost 8.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 42.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $0.3690 as support and $0.4870 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Sell-side targets cluster 637.1% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.1%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 49.0%, a beta of 2.18 and a maximum drawdown of 87.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 0.87
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 0.87
  • Analyst targets imply +637.1% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +637.1% versus the current price
  • Negative return on equity of -62.0%
  • Revenue contracting at -10.1%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-10.10%
P/E Ratio-1.8
ROE-61.97%
ROA-12.82%
Debt/Equity62.06
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$-42199800
Free Cash Flow$-84516512
Industry P/E30.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.0
Support$0.37
Resistance$0.49
MA 20$0.41
MA 50$0.50
MA 200$0.87
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.82

Valuation

Target Price$3.00
Upside/Downside637.10%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.18
Volatility49.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.