NVR:NYSENVR, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 20, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $5,828.00
- Risk: medium
- 4/10Medium risk
Summary
At $5,828.00, NVR, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 7.5% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 40.3 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at $5,616.78 up to resistance at $6,383.30.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 15.1, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 9.7% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 10.9% on a 11.8% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 25.0%, a beta of 0.52 and a maximum drawdown of 31.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 2 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 15.1, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 9.7% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 10.9% on a 11.8% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 25.0%, a beta of 0.52 and a maximum drawdown of 31.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 2 out of 10.
Top market events
- NVR stock is holding near $6,413.48 after a new second-quarter filing and July 23, 2026 earnings tha
- NVR Inc. stock reflects the company’s latest reported earnings and ongoing U.S. housing demand as of
- NVR stock traded at EUR 5,530.00 on September 29, 2026, while Zacks cut its Q3 EPS estimate. Q2 reve
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6607.05
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6607.05
- Analyst targets imply +9.7% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +9.7% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -10.9%
- P/E ratio of 15.1
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-10.90%
Profit Margin11.85%
P/E Ratio15.1
ROE31.54%
ROA16.55%
Debt/Equity32.15
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash Flow$1.1B
Free Cash Flow$918.3M
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.3
Support$5,616.78
Resistance$6,383.30
MA 20$6,035.51
MA 50$6,189.28
MA 200$6,607.05
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Valuation
Fair Value$4,182.41
Target Price$6,395.33
Upside/Downside9.73%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta0.52
Volatility25.00%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.