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NVO:NYSENovo Nordisk A/S Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$44.28

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Novo Nordisk trades at $44.28, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (43.70) but still below the 200‑day SMA (49.10), indicating a neutral longer‑term trend. The stock’s PE of 10.35 is well under the industry average of 27.16, while the dividend yield of 4.07% offers attractive income. Technicals show a modestly overbought RSI (56) and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting short‑term pressure near the resistance level of $47.79.
Fundamentally, revenue is growing at 24% with exceptional gross (83%) and operating margins (62%) and a ROE of 71%, but the balance sheet is leveraged (Debt‑to‑Equity 72%) and free cash flow is negative. Recent news highlights rapid uptake of the new Wegovy pill and an upgraded 2026 outlook, underscoring strong demand in the obesity franchise despite lower realized prices. The combination of undervalued multiples, solid earnings, and robust pipeline supports a positive medium‑ to long‑term view, while high volatility (34.9% 30‑day) and beta (~1.55) warrant caution in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and proximity to resistance
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility
  • Recent earnings beat but lower realized prices

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high margins
  • Undervalued PE relative to peers
  • Positive guidance lift driven by obesity franchise

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high ROE and dividend yield
  • Robust pipeline and expanding obesity/diabetes market
  • Long‑term secular demand for chronic disease therapies

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth24.00%
Profit Margin37.21%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE71.40%
ROA19.25%
Debt/Equity72.09
P/B Ratio6.2
Op. Cash Flow$118.5B
Free Cash Flow$-12039249920
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.4
Support$38.02
Resistance$47.79
MA 20$43.70
MA 50$40.18
MA 200$49.10
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Fair Value$609.15
Target Price$46.67
Upside/Downside5.40%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.56
Volatility34.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.