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NVO:NYSENovo Nordisk A/S Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$45.33

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Novo Nordisk A/S is neutral at $45.33, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. The last 30 days have lost 8.6%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 42.9 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Watch $43.68 as support and $49.15 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 11.1 times earnings below a sector average of 30.4. Analyst price targets sit 3.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 2.1% on a 35.3% profit margin. The 3.96% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.5%, a beta of 1.11 and a maximum drawdown of 44.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Novo Nordisk NYSE:NVO has received a downgrade from Deutsche Bank, with analysts lowering their target price as midterm...Novo Nordisk stock trades below its 52-week peak while investors weigh the September 2026 launch ofThe duopoly dominating the multi-billion-dollar GLP-1 weight-loss market has moved from pharmacy shelves to the federal...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 46.40
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -8.6%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 11.1 versus sector average of 30.4
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 46.40
  • 30-day volatility of 42.5%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 11.1 versus sector average of 30.4
  • Profit margin of 35.3% is healthy
  • Return on equity of 59.8%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.10%
Profit Margin35.35%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE59.81%
ROA18.73%
Debt/Equity63.33
P/B Ratio5.8
Op. Cash Flow$131.9B
Free Cash Flow$37.7B
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.9
Support$43.68
Resistance$49.15
MA 20$46.29
MA 50$47.93
MA 200$46.40
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Valuation

Fair Value$97.24
Target Price$47.12
Upside/Downside3.94%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.11
Volatility42.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.