NVO:NYSENovo Nordisk A/S Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$43.19
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Novo Nordisk (NVO) trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1, well below the industry average of 24.1, while delivering a robust 71% ROE and a dividend yield of 4.17%. The stock sits near its technical support at $41, with the current price of $43.19 reflecting a neutral trend (RSI 48.5) and a bearish MACD histogram. Volatility is elevated at ~31% over the past 30 days and beta is 1.42, indicating higher sensitivity to market moves. Recent material news includes FDA approval of oral Wegovy, expanding the obesity franchise, but also a cyber‑extortion incident that raises short‑term regulatory and reputational concerns. Despite a negative free cash flow, operating cash flow remains strong, supporting the dividend payout ratio of 42.6%. The DCF model suggests modest upside (~9% above current levels), reinforcing the view that the stock is fundamentally undervalued.
Overall, the combination of attractive valuation multiples, high profitability, and a growing pipeline positions NVO as a compelling long‑run buy, while short‑term caution is warranted due to technical weakness and cybersecurity risk.
Overall, the combination of attractive valuation multiples, high profitability, and a growing pipeline positions NVO as a compelling long‑run buy, while short‑term caution is warranted due to technical weakness and cybersecurity risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent cyber‑extortion and data‑breach concerns
- Bearish MACD and proximity to technical support
- Attractive dividend yield providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- FDA approval of oral Wegovy expanding obesity market
- Strong operating margins and low relative P/E
- Undervalued relative to DCF and industry peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustained high ROE and cash generation capacity
- Robust pipeline in diabetes, obesity, and rare diseases
- Demographic trends driving long‑term demand for GLP‑1 therapies
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.00%
Profit Margin37.21%
P/E Ratio10.1
ROE71.40%
ROA19.25%
Debt/Equity72.09
P/B Ratio6.2
Op. Cash Flow$118.5B
Free Cash Flow$-12039249920
Industry P/E24.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.5
Support$41.00
Resistance$46.05
MA 20$43.65
MA 50$42.93
MA 200$48.15
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value$621.56
Target Price$47.12
Upside/Downside9.10%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.42
Volatility31.42%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.