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NVO:NYSENovo Nordisk A/S analysis

Data as of Oct 13, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$38.06
Risk: medium
6/10Medium risk

Summary

The moving-average structure behind Novo Nordisk A/S is bearish at $38.06, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. The last 30 days have lost 16.0%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 35.1 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $36.85 as support and $43.54 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 9.3 times earnings below a sector average of 30.3. Analyst price targets sit 19.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 2.1% on a 35.3% profit margin. The 4.66% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 35.0%, a beta of 1.04 and a maximum drawdown of 44.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Novo Nordisk NYSE:NVO did something this year that usually pleases investors: it raised its full-year outlook.
  • A stock that has lost more than 70% of its value from the peak tends to invite hard questions, and Novo Nordisk A/S...
  • Two of the world's most closely watched pharmaceutical companies are drawing fresh scrutiny from investors seeking...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 45.26
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 9.3 versus sector average of 30.3
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 45.26

Long term

> 3 years

Positive

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 9.3 versus sector average of 30.3
  • Analyst targets imply +19.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 35.3% is healthy

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth2.10%
Profit Margin35.35%
P/E Ratio9.3
ROE59.81%
ROA18.73%
Debt/Equity63.33
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash Flow$131.9B
Free Cash Flow$37.7B
Industry P/E30.3

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.1
Support$36.85
Resistance$43.54
MA 20$38.97
MA 50$43.08
MA 200$45.26
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.16

Valuation

Fair Value$89.59
Target Price$45.53
Upside/Downside19.62%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.66%

Risk assessment

Beta1.04
Volatility35.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.