NVNI:NASDAQNvni Group Limited analysis
Data as of Sep 23, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $0.95
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Nvni Group Limited is bearish at $0.9500, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. It has lost 6.9% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 47.6 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. The recent range runs from support at $0.7900 up to resistance at $1.06.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is contracting at 2.5% on a -57.4% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 86.7%, a beta of 2.26 and a maximum drawdown of 94.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 5/10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is contracting at 2.5% on a -57.4% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 86.7%, a beta of 2.26 and a maximum drawdown of 94.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 5/10.
Top market events
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Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.51
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.51
- 30-day volatility of 86.7%
Long term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -57.4%
- Revenue contracting at -2.5%
- Negative free cash flow
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin-57.40%
P/E Ratio-2.3
ROA-4.51%
P/B Ratio-0.3
Op. Cash Flow$8.0M
Free Cash Flow$-35090376
Industry P/E34.5
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI47.6
Support$0.79
Resistance$1.06
MA 20$0.95
MA 50$1.07
MA 200$1.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.59
Valuation
Fair Value$1.58
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta2.26
Volatility86.75%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.