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NVEC:NASDAQNVE Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$101.77

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NVE Corporation trades around $101.8, far above its DCF fair value of $29, signaling a pronounced overvaluation despite its impressive profitability – gross margin of 78%, operating margin of 62% and ROE of 25%. The stock rides a strong bullish trend, sitting above its 20‑day (≈$103) and 200‑day (≈$73) moving averages, and the 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 73% with a beta of 1.75, underscoring price sensitivity. However, the MACD histogram has turned negative and the recent price dip from $107.9 to $101.8 hints at short‑term weakness, while the support level sits near $82 and resistance near $121.
Fundamentally, the company is cash‑rich ($19.8 M) with minimal debt, no dividend payout, and modest revenue growth of 5.3%, positioning it as a growth‑oriented tech play. The sector’s cyclical nature and elevated beta elevate overall risk, but the firm’s niche spintronic technology and high operating efficiency provide a compelling long‑run narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term momentum weakness
  • Recent price pullback toward support level
  • High volatility and beta increasing short‑term risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish trend above key moving averages
  • Strong operating margins and cash position
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF but industry PE slightly lower than average

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Unique spintronic technology addressing AIoT and IIoT markets
  • High ROE and low leverage providing financial resilience
  • Long‑run growth potential outweighs current valuation premium

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.30%
Profit Margin57.72%
P/E Ratio32.4
ROE25.22%
ROA15.96%
Debt/Equity1.55
P/B Ratio8.5
Op. Cash Flow$16.7M
Free Cash Flow$7.3M
Industry P/E37.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.1
Support$81.96
Resistance$121.20
MA 20$102.94
MA 50$91.22
MA 200$73.09
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.57

Valuation

Fair Value$29.00
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.75
Volatility72.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.