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NVEC:NASDAQNVE Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-21 - not real-time

$83.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NVE Corporation is trading at $83.5, just shy of its 52‑week high of $83.99 and well above the discounted cash‑flow fair value of $55.8, indicating a sizable premium. The stock sits above its 20‑day (73.12) and 50‑day (69.81) SMAs, with a bullish MACD (line 3.76 vs signal 2.62) but an RSI of 78.6, signaling overbought momentum. Revenue is growing at 23% YoY and margins are exceptionally high (gross 79%, operating 60%), yet the price‑to‑earnings ratio of 28.6 exceeds the industry average of 37, and the price‑to‑book of 6.93 reflects a lofty valuation. The dividend yield of 4.93% looks attractive, but a payout ratio of 137% raises sustainability concerns. Volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting waning buying pressure despite the bullish technical backdrop.
Given the high beta of 1.43, 30‑day volatility of 32%, and exposure to the cyclical semiconductor sector, the stock carries elevated market risk. While the company’s niche spintronic technology and strong cash generation provide a compelling growth narrative, the current market price appears stretched relative to fundamentals and cash‑flow based valuations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicates overbought conditions
  • Price is near immediate resistance level
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Current price far exceeds DCF fair value
  • Dividend payout ratio exceeds 100%
  • High sector cyclicality and beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Unique spintronic technology positioning
  • Robust cash flow and low debt load

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth22.90%
Profit Margin54.59%
P/E Ratio28.6
ROE23.36%
ROA15.49%
Debt/Equity1.60
P/B Ratio6.9
Op. Cash Flow$14.7M
Free Cash Flow$7.3M
Industry P/E37.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI78.6
Support$64.17
Resistance$83.99
MA 20$73.12
MA 50$69.81
MA 200$67.82
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.43

Valuation

Fair Value$55.83
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield4.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.43
Volatility32.43%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.