We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

NVDA:NASDAQNVIDIA Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$222.32

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NVDA continues to dominate the AI infrastructure space, with price comfortably above its short‑term moving averages and a bullish MACD histogram confirming upward momentum. The RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, suggesting strength without immediate over‑extension, while the stock trades well within a solid technical range bounded by a support near $195 and resistance near $237. Fundamentally, revenue is surging at a high‑double‑digit pace and margins remain exceptional, delivering robust cash flow and a rock‑solid balance sheet.
Despite these strengths, the market’s pricing of NVDA is markedly premium—DCF estimates place intrinsic value well below current levels, and valuation multiples exceed both peers and historical averages. The high beta and 30‑day volatility underscore price sensitivity, and while the modest dividend appears sustainable, it contributes little to total return. Investors should weigh the compelling growth narrative against the elevated valuation and market risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above 20‑day SMA
  • Technical proximity to resistance level
  • Elevated valuation relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained double‑digit revenue growth driven by AI demand
  • Strong operating and free cash flow generation
  • Strategic partnerships expanding data‑center and automotive exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Market leadership in GPU‑accelerated AI computing
  • High return on equity and cash‑rich balance sheet
  • Long‑term secular tailwinds in data‑center and autonomous‑vehicle markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth73.20%
Profit Margin55.60%
P/E Ratio45.5
ROE101.48%
ROA51.19%
Debt/Equity7.25
P/B Ratio34.4
Op. Cash Flow$102.7B
Free Cash Flow$58.1B
Industry P/E38.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.7
Support$194.74
Resistance$236.54
MA 20$211.31
MA 50$193.96
MA 200$186.19
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89

Valuation

Fair Value$87.21
Target Price$272.94
Upside/Downside22.77%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.02%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.79
Volatility38.37%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.