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NVDA:NASDAQNVIDIA Corporation analysis

Data as of Oct 8, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$237.47
Risk: medium
7/10Medium risk

Summary

NVIDIA Corporation is priced at $237.47 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 11.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 64.3 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at $208.93 up to resistance at $243.37.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 30.3 times earnings against the sector's 35.7. Consensus targets land 38.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 105.9% on a 63.7% profit margin. The 0.42% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 37.3%, a beta of 1.87 and a maximum drawdown of 20.2%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 7 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Nvidia stock was trading at USD 236.97 on October 5, while its fiscal second-quarter revenue reached
  • Revenue rose 106.00 percent to USD 96.22 billion in fiscal second quarter. Nvidia stock costs EUR 21
  • Company OverviewNVIDIA NVDA is the largest semiconductor manufacturer for AI listed on the Nasdaq.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 201.68
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 30.3 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 201.68

Long term

> 3 years

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 30.3 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Analyst targets imply +38.4% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 63.7% is healthy

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth105.90%
Profit Margin63.66%
P/E Ratio30.3
ROE117.21%
ROA53.57%
Debt/Equity16.97
P/B Ratio25.0
Op. Cash Flow$134.4B
Free Cash Flow$41.8B
Industry P/E35.7

Technical analysis

TrendBullish
RSI64.3
Support$208.93
Resistance$243.37
MA 20$225.58
MA 50$220.58
MA 200$201.68
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.54

Valuation

Fair Value$56.54
Target Price$328.72
Upside/Downside38.42%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.42%

Risk assessment

Beta1.87
Volatility37.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.