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NVAC:SWBBanpu Public Co. Ltd. NVDR Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

€0.15

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Banpu PCL (NVAC) is trading at €0.145, just below its 20‑day SMA of €0.1505 but comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of €0.1178, indicating a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The 14‑day RSI sits at 49.7, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, pointing to short‑term downside pressure. Volume remains stable, yet the 30‑day volatility spikes above 100%, highlighting a very choppy price environment. The stock’s beta of 0.71 signals lower systematic risk compared to the market, but the recent max drawdown of nearly 29% underscores downside vulnerability. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear‑Greed Index 79.45), which may be inflating price expectations. Support sits at €0.121 and resistance at €0.158, framing the immediate trading range.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just below the 20‑day SMA
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish alignment of SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200
  • Overall bullish trend direction
  • Strong market optimism reflected by extreme greed sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Absence of fundamental financial data
  • Moderate beta indicating limited market‑wide risk
  • Potential regulatory and geographic exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.7
Support€0.12
Resistance€0.16
MA 20€0.15
MA 50€0.14
MA 200€0.12
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.71
Volatility106.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.