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NUE:NYSENucor Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time

$256.02

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nucor (NUE) is trading well above its 20‑day (≈$235) and 50‑day (≈$241) moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram and an RSI of ~62 indicating momentum is still intact. Revenue surged 23% YoY to over $36 B and EPS is projected to nearly double from $9.7 to $18.2, driving a forward PE of ~14 versus a trailing PE of ~26, suggesting the market is pricing in strong earnings growth. The company’s balance sheet remains solid, with a modest debt‑to‑equity ratio, ample cash generation, and a dividend payout of only 22% of earnings, supporting the dividend’s sustainability. Analyst sentiment is positive (Buy consensus, median target $274) and the Fear & Greed Index signals “Extreme Greed,” yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $77 implies the stock is priced at a premium, limiting upside to roughly 5%.
Technical indicators show increasing volume and a support zone near $215, but resistance sits close to $270, a level already tested intraday. High 30‑day volatility (~40%) and a neutral trend flag caution, while sector‑specific cyclical risk remains medium. Overall, NUE appears fairly valued with modest upside, strong cash flow, and a sustainable dividend, making it a compelling hold for growth‑oriented investors who can tolerate sector volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
  • Increasing volume supporting price advances
  • Support level near $215 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 23% revenue growth and near‑double EPS forecast
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Analyst consensus Buy and modest upside to $270

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Market‑leading position in North American steel recycling
  • Strong free cash flow enabling shareholder returns
  • Resilient demand for steel in construction and energy infrastructure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth23.00%
Profit Margin7.99%
P/E Ratio26.4
ROE14.55%
ROA7.32%
Debt/Equity30.51
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$4.4B
Free Cash Flow$669.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.0
Support$214.61
Resistance$270.02
MA 20$235.09
MA 50$241.40
MA 200$190.12
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.66

Valuation

Fair Value$77.04
Target Price$269.13
Upside/Downside5.12%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.84%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility40.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.