NUE:NYSENucor Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time
$256.02
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nucor (NUE) is trading well above its 20‑day (≈$235) and 50‑day (≈$241) moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram and an RSI of ~62 indicating momentum is still intact. Revenue surged 23% YoY to over $36 B and EPS is projected to nearly double from $9.7 to $18.2, driving a forward PE of ~14 versus a trailing PE of ~26, suggesting the market is pricing in strong earnings growth. The company’s balance sheet remains solid, with a modest debt‑to‑equity ratio, ample cash generation, and a dividend payout of only 22% of earnings, supporting the dividend’s sustainability. Analyst sentiment is positive (Buy consensus, median target $274) and the Fear & Greed Index signals “Extreme Greed,” yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $77 implies the stock is priced at a premium, limiting upside to roughly 5%.
Technical indicators show increasing volume and a support zone near $215, but resistance sits close to $270, a level already tested intraday. High 30‑day volatility (~40%) and a neutral trend flag caution, while sector‑specific cyclical risk remains medium. Overall, NUE appears fairly valued with modest upside, strong cash flow, and a sustainable dividend, making it a compelling hold for growth‑oriented investors who can tolerate sector volatility.
Technical indicators show increasing volume and a support zone near $215, but resistance sits close to $270, a level already tested intraday. High 30‑day volatility (~40%) and a neutral trend flag caution, while sector‑specific cyclical risk remains medium. Overall, NUE appears fairly valued with modest upside, strong cash flow, and a sustainable dividend, making it a compelling hold for growth‑oriented investors who can tolerate sector volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
- Increasing volume supporting price advances
- Support level near $215 providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 23% revenue growth and near‑double EPS forecast
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Analyst consensus Buy and modest upside to $270
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Market‑leading position in North American steel recycling
- Strong free cash flow enabling shareholder returns
- Resilient demand for steel in construction and energy infrastructure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.00%
Profit Margin7.99%
P/E Ratio26.4
ROE14.55%
ROA7.32%
Debt/Equity30.51
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$4.4B
Free Cash Flow$669.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI62.0
Support$214.61
Resistance$270.02
MA 20$235.09
MA 50$241.40
MA 200$190.12
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.66
Valuation
Fair Value$77.04
Target Price$269.13
Upside/Downside5.12%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.84%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.91
Volatility40.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.