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NTPCGREEN:NSENTPC Green Energy Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-14 - not real-time

₹109.51

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading in a bullish environment, holding above its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages and staying comfortably above the identified support zone. Momentum indicators show a neutral RSI and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting short‑term pressure despite the overall uptrend. Volume trends are weakening, which may limit upside momentum in the near term, while the price remains well below the recent high resistance level. Fundamental backdrop: Revenue is expanding at a robust pace and margins are exceptionally high, reflecting a strong operating model in renewable power generation. However, the valuation multiples are dramatically above industry peers and the balance sheet carries a very high debt load, resulting in a negligible dividend outlook. Sector dynamics are favorable, with renewable energy receiving strong policy support in India, but regulatory shifts could affect project economics. The combination of attractive growth metrics and a stretched valuation creates a nuanced risk‑reward profile that warrants careful positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price positioned near recent support
  • bearish MACD signal
  • declining trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue growth and high margins
  • significant overvaluation relative to peers
  • heavy debt burden limiting financial flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • favorable renewable energy policy environment
  • backing by a large utility parent
  • potential for long‑term sector tailwinds despite current valuation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth29.30%
Profit Margin21.76%
P/E Ratio158.7
Debt/Equity115.84
P/B Ratio4.9
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.1
Support₹105.60
Resistance₹119.95
MA 20₹111.03
MA 50₹101.70
MA 200₹98.25
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.45

Valuation

Target Price₹104.71
Upside/Downside-4.38%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility44.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.