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NPN:JSENaspers Limited Class N Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

ZAC 84,281.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Naspers (NPN.JO) is trading at ZAc 84,281, well below its 20‑day SMA of 88,499 and 50‑day SMA of 89,994, indicating short‑term weakness, while the 200‑day SMA sits at ZAc 105,984, confirming a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI of 40.6 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, and the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing bearish momentum. Despite the technical softness, fundamentals appear attractive: a trailing P/E of 7.6×, a price‑to‑book of 1.66×, and a DCF‑derived fair value that implies roughly 64% upside potential. Revenue growth of 19.6% and a solid ROE of 25.8% underscore strong earnings momentum, while the dividend payout ratio of just 2% makes the modest 0.6% yield highly sustainable. Volatility is elevated at 35.6% over the past 30 days, but beta is low (≈0.38), indicating limited correlation with broader market moves. Recent material news – a near‑23% share jump on earnings and a proposed share‑buyback, plus approval to unwind the complex cross‑holding structure – provides a catalyst that could lift the price toward the identified resistance around ZAc 94,400.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical dip near support with low beta
  • Share‑buyback announcement boosting demand
  • Undervaluation indicated by DCF and upside potential

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE
  • Improved corporate structure after cross‑holding unwind
  • Attractive valuation multiples relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend policy with low payout ratio
  • Diversified global internet portfolio driving long‑term cash flows
  • Continued upside upside potential and resilient fundamentals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.60%
Profit Margin72.74%
P/E Ratio7.6
ROE25.76%
ROA0.19%
Debt/Equity32.64
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowZAC2.0B
Free Cash FlowZAC846.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.6
SupportZAC 81,758.00
ResistanceZAC 94,400.00
MA 20ZAC 88,499.15
MA 50ZAC 89,994.38
MA 200ZAC 105,983.74
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair ValueZAC 3,813.82
Target PriceZAC 137,941.06
Upside/Downside63.67%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.60%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.38
Volatility35.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.