NOW:NYSEServiceNow, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
$99.97
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ServiceNow delivers a compelling growth narrative with 22% year‑over‑year revenue growth, a robust 76% gross margin and an expanding profit profile (12.6% net margin). Forward earnings are projected to surge to $5.03 per share, compressing the forward P/E to ~20x versus a trailing P/E of 59x and an industry average of 37x. The discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value near $165, implying a ~41% upside from the current $99.97 price, while the balance sheet remains strong with net cash of roughly $2.8 B and a low debt‑to‑equity of 20.7%.
On the technical side, the stock trades below its 20‑day SMA (105.6) and the MACD has turned bearish, with decreasing volume and an elevated 30‑day volatility of 83%. Recent AI‑governance and IBM collaborations could catalyze future top‑line growth, but short‑term price pressure remains as the market digests these announcements. Overall, the fundamentals and valuation suggest a buying opportunity, while near‑term technical weakness tempers immediate optimism.
On the technical side, the stock trades below its 20‑day SMA (105.6) and the MACD has turned bearish, with decreasing volume and an elevated 30‑day volatility of 83%. Recent AI‑governance and IBM collaborations could catalyze future top‑line growth, but short‑term price pressure remains as the market digests these announcements. Overall, the fundamentals and valuation suggest a buying opportunity, while near‑term technical weakness tempers immediate optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Current price still above immediate support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Projected earnings acceleration and forward P/E ~20x
- DCF‑derived upside of ~41% and strong cash position
- Strategic AI and IBM partnerships expanding addressable market
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Recurring subscription model with high gross margins
- Sustained revenue growth and solid ROE (~16%)
- Long‑term intrinsic value gap and low beta indicating defensive profile
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.10%
Profit Margin12.59%
P/E Ratio59.5
ROE16.07%
ROA5.66%
Debt/Equity20.73
P/B Ratio8.8
Op. Cash Flow$5.4B
Free Cash Flow$5.1B
Industry P/E36.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.8
Support$89.39
Resistance$139.20
MA 20$105.61
MA 50$99.85
MA 200$134.10
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.09
Valuation
Fair Value$165.44
Target Price$141.48
Upside/Downside41.52%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility83.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.