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NOV:NYSENOV Inc. analysis

Data as of Sep 27, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$19.86
Risk: medium
4/10Medium risk

Summary

At $19.86, NOV Inc. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 3.8%. RSI sits at 39.9, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $19.61 up to resistance at $21.93.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 73.6 versus a 17.2 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 12.0% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 2.5% on a 1.1% profit margin. The 1.81% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 26.3%, a beta of 0.79 and a maximum drawdown of 17.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 2 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Revenues of $2.13 billion, up 4% sequentially and down 2% year-over-yearNet income of $112 million, or $0.31 per share,...
  • Revenues of $2.13 billion, up 4% sequentially and down 2% year-over-yearNet income of $112 million, or $0.31 per share,...
  • HOUSTON, Aug. 19, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- NOV Inc. NYSE: NOV announced today that its Board of Directors declared a...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Positive

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 19.32
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 73.6 versus sector average of 17.2
  • Dividend yield of 1.81% looks stretched against payout coverage

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 73.6 versus sector average of 17.2
  • Dividend yield of 1.81% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +12.0% versus the current price

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin1.10%
P/E Ratio73.6
ROE1.54%
ROA3.45%
Debt/Equity37.15
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$916.0M
Free Cash Flow$673.4M
Industry P/E17.2

Technical analysis

TrendBullish
RSI39.9
Support$19.61
Resistance$21.93
MA 20$20.83
MA 50$20.45
MA 200$19.32
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.88

Valuation

Fair Value$19.39
Target Price$22.24
Upside/Downside11.97%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.81%

Risk assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility26.31%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.