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NOMD:NYSENomad Foods Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$10.21

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nomad Foods is trading just above its short‑term moving average while still below the longer‑term trend line, suggesting a modest bullish bias. Momentum indicators sit in a neutral zone, but the MACD histogram remains positive, reinforcing the slight upside bias. The stock benefits from a generous dividend yield that outpaces many peers, yet the balance sheet shows substantial leverage, which could pressure cash‑flow distribution. Recent earnings surprised to the upside, and insider buying adds confidence, but revenue contraction and high volatility signal caution.
Overall, the valuation metrics point to a discount to analyst target prices, offering upside potential, while the defensive consumer sector footing and low market beta provide a cushion against broader market swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
  • Stable volume and low beta reducing market‑wide shock risk
  • Proximity to a near‑term support level limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued price relative to analyst targets
  • Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors
  • Low beta and defensive consumer‑staples positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load may constrain future cash‑flow allocation
  • Revenue decline raises concerns about sustainable growth
  • Strong brand portfolio and market presence support stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.90%
Profit Margin4.45%
P/E Ratio9.7
ROE5.20%
ROA3.78%
Debt/Equity92.11
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$318.4M
Free Cash Flow$156.1M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.4
Support$8.99
Resistance$10.54
MA 20$9.80
MA 50$9.74
MA 200$11.94
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.05

Valuation

Fair Value$0.11
Target Price$12.90
Upside/Downside26.38%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.62%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility46.01%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.