NOMD:NYSENomad Foods Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$10.21
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nomad Foods is trading just above its short‑term moving average while still below the longer‑term trend line, suggesting a modest bullish bias. Momentum indicators sit in a neutral zone, but the MACD histogram remains positive, reinforcing the slight upside bias. The stock benefits from a generous dividend yield that outpaces many peers, yet the balance sheet shows substantial leverage, which could pressure cash‑flow distribution. Recent earnings surprised to the upside, and insider buying adds confidence, but revenue contraction and high volatility signal caution.
Overall, the valuation metrics point to a discount to analyst target prices, offering upside potential, while the defensive consumer sector footing and low market beta provide a cushion against broader market swings.
Overall, the valuation metrics point to a discount to analyst target prices, offering upside potential, while the defensive consumer sector footing and low market beta provide a cushion against broader market swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
- Stable volume and low beta reducing market‑wide shock risk
- Proximity to a near‑term support level limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued price relative to analyst targets
- Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors
- Low beta and defensive consumer‑staples positioning
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt load may constrain future cash‑flow allocation
- Revenue decline raises concerns about sustainable growth
- Strong brand portfolio and market presence support stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.90%
Profit Margin4.45%
P/E Ratio9.7
ROE5.20%
ROA3.78%
Debt/Equity92.11
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$318.4M
Free Cash Flow$156.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.4
Support$8.99
Resistance$10.54
MA 20$9.80
MA 50$9.74
MA 200$11.94
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.05
Valuation
Fair Value$0.11
Target Price$12.90
Upside/Downside26.38%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.62%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility46.01%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.