NOG:NYSENorthern Oil and Gas, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 16, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $25.75
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
At $25.75, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.2%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 58.3 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at $22.44 up to resistance at $26.65.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 5.1 times earnings below a sector average of 19.0. Consensus targets land 22.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 16.0% on a -24.2% profit margin. The 6.99% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 39.7%, a beta of -0.56 and a maximum drawdown of 43.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 4/10 conviction.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 5.1 times earnings below a sector average of 19.0. Consensus targets land 22.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 16.0% on a -24.2% profit margin. The 6.99% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 39.7%, a beta of -0.56 and a maximum drawdown of 43.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Top market events
- American Century Investments, an investment management company, released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter for...
- Fintel reports that on October 15, 2026, Scotiabank initiated coverage of Northern Oil and Gas NYSE:NOG XTRA:4LT1 with...
- 在过去一年里，不少公司内部人士大幅增持了北方油气公司（纽约证券交易所代码：NOG）的...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 24.21
- MACD momentum is positive
- Maximum drawdown of 43.6%
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 5.1 versus sector average of 19.0
- Dividend yield of 6.99% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 24.21
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 5.1 versus sector average of 19.0
- Dividend yield of 6.99% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -24.2%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth16.00%
Profit Margin-24.15%
P/E Ratio5.1
ROE-22.05%
ROA4.60%
Debt/Equity136.56
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$1.4B
Free Cash Flow$-459628992
Industry P/E19.0
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.3
Support$22.44
Resistance$26.65
MA 20$24.19
MA 50$24.96
MA 200$24.21
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.84
Valuation
Fair Value$184.29
Target Price$31.44
Upside/Downside22.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.99%
Risk assessment
Beta-0.56
Volatility39.74%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.